Earth-logs

What drove the Cambrian Explosion?

Published on March 28, 2025 by zooks777Leave a comment

The origin of animals occurred sometime during the Proterozoic Eon, perhaps as early as 2.1 Ga (billion years ago) after the Great Oxygenation Event. Available oxygen is a prerequisite for animal life, and that is about as far back as palaeobiologists can push it. More familiar are the trace fossils known as the Ediacaran fauna which emerged after the environmentally highly stressful Cryogenian Period that was marked by two Snowball Earth events. Traces of these animals may have been big enough to be easily found, but they were not particularly diverse and are difficult to place in any particular modern group. Most modern animals have front- and rear ends, tops and bottoms, and input and output orifices. The earliest of these bilaterian beasts may have emerged during the Ediacaran as well, but were not very prepossessing. It was during the Cambrian Period (541 to 485 Ma) that most modern animal phyla became recognisable to palaeobiologists. That carnival of diversification is widely known as the Cambrian Explosion. Yet it was later in geological time that the full panoply of Phanerozoic diversity among taxa below the level of the phylum truly exploded, punctuated by mass extinctions and the diversification that followed each of them. So, what lay behind the initial emergence of the characteristics that form the basic templates of the phyla themselves?

Cartoon of the Cambrian Explosion in benthic faunas. Credit: Gabriela Mangano and Luis A. Buatois, 2016 The Cambrian Explosion, Fig 3.15

A multinational team of modellers and geoscientists have moved the focus from long-term shifts in climate and atmospheric chemistry to what might change from day to night in an ecosystem during the diel cycle (Hammarlund, E.U. and 13 others 2025. Benthic diel oxygen variability and stress as potential drivers for animal diversification in the Neoproterozoic-Palaeozoic Nature Communications, v. 16, article 2223; DOI:10.1038/s41467-025-57345-0). During the Neoproterozoic oxygen levels in Earth atmosphere rose to about half the amount present today. But animals arose and evolved in sea water. The most prolific source of food for them would have been in shallow water (the benthic zone), simply because sunlight in the photic zone encourages photosynthesis. As well as a thriving base for animal life’s food chain shallow water is where oxygen is produced; but only during daylight hours. At night decay of organic matter on the seabed draws down dissolved oxygen. Emma Hammarlund and colleagues wondered if day-night changes in oxygen levels might have exerted sufficient stress to force early animals to adapt and thus diversify. Their model shows that in warm, shallow water the lower oxygen levels at the start of the Phanerozoic could change dramatically in the diel cycle. Algae at the base of the food chain would swiftly oxygenate the water in daylight, but at night would consume it to produce much lower levels. Animals that were better adapted to the stress of this daily ‘feast-and-famine’ cycle in oxygen availability would outcompete others that were less resilient for the available nutrients. Environmental stress had flipped from an obstacle to evolution to a catalyst for it. The earliest appearances of organisms in the 10 modern phyla seem to coincide with global warming at low latitudes to an air temperature of about 25° C at the start of the Cambrian, perhaps when this shift began.

Another empirical coincidence lies in the sedimentary rock record. On modern continents the base of Phanerozoic sediments is widely marked by shallow-water sandstones often at an unconformity. Often white and containing abundant burrows, the sandstones are signs of abundant life, though rarely contain body fossils. They represent global sea-level rise that flooded the existing continents, so the highly productive benthic environment became about four times more widespread at the end of the Cambrian than it was during the previous Ediacaran Period. Abundant life forms were under stress more or less everywhere. Thereafter these ‘shelf seas’ halved in total area, but the basic ‘templates’ for animal life were well-established and the numbers of classes, orders, families etcetera steadily burgeoned. By the end of the Cambrian oxygen production rose so that atmospheric concentration of the gas reached 25%, higher then it is at present.

See also: Hammarlund, E. 2025. How dramatic daily swings in oxygen shaped early animal life. The Conversation, 21 March 2025.

The earliest known impact structure

Published on March 20, 2025 by zooks777Leave a comment

Earth has been through a great many catastrophes, but the vast majority of those of which we know were slow-burning in a geological sense. They resulted in unusually high numbers of extinctions at the species- to family levels over a few million years and the true mass extinctions seem to have been dominated by build ups of greenhouse gases emitted by large igneous provinces. Even the most famous at the end of the Cretaceous Period, which did for the dinosaurs and considerably more organisms that the media hasn’t puffed, was partly connected to the eruption of the Deccan flood basalts of western India. Yet the event that did the real damage was a catastrophe that appeared in a matter of seconds: the time taken for the asteroid that gouged the Chicxulub crater to pass through the atmosphere. Its energy was huge and because it was delivered in such a short time its sheer power was unimaginable. Gradually geologists have recognised signs of an increasing number of tangible structures produced by Earth’s colliding with extraterrestrial objects, which now stands at 190 that have been confirmed.

Landsat image mosaic of the Palaeoarchaean granite-greenstone terrain of the Pilbara Craton, Western Australia. Granite bodies show as pale blobs, the volcanic and sedimentary greenstone belts in shades of grey. The site of Kirkland et al.’s study site is at the tip of the red arrow

The frequency of impact craters falls off with age, most having formed in the last ~550 million years (Ma) during the Phanerozoic Eon, only 25 being known from the Precambrian, which spanned around 88 percent of geological time. That is largely a consequence of the dynamic processes of tectonics, erosion and sedimentation that may have obliterated or hidden a larger number. Earth is unique in that respect, the surfaces of other rocky bodies in the Solar System showing vastly more. The Moon is a fine example, especially as it has been Earth’s companion since it formed 4.5 billion years ago (Ga) after the proto-Earth collided with a now vanished planet about the size of Mars. The relative ages of lunar impact structures combined with radiometric ages of the surfaces that they hit has allowed the frequency of collisions to be assessed through time. Applied to the sizes of the craters such data can show how the amount of kinetic energy inflicted on the lunar surface has changed with time. During what geologists refer to as the Hadean Eon (before 4 Ga), the moon underwent continuous bombardment that reached a crescendo between 4.1 and about 3.8 Ga. Thereafter impacts tailed off. Always having been close to the Moon, the Earth cannot have escaped the flux of objects experienced by the lunar surface. Because of Earth’s much greater gravitation pull it was probably hit by more objects per unit area. Apart from some geochemical evidence from Archaean rocks (see: Tungsten and Archaean heavy bombardment; July 2002) and several beds of 3.3 Ga old sediment in South Africa that contain what may have been glassy spherules there are no signs of actual impact structures earlier than a small crater dated at around 2.4 Ga in NE Russia.

Shatter cones in siltstone near Marble Bar in the Pilbara Province: finger for scale. Credit: Kirkland *et al*.; Fig 2a

Now a group of geologists from Curtin University, Perth Western Australia, and the Geological Survey of Western Australia have published their findings of indisputable signs of an impact site in the northern part of Western Australia (Kirkland, C.L. et al. 2025. A Paleoarchaean impact crater in the Pilbara Craton, Western Australia. Nature Communications, v. 16, article 2224; DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-57558-3). In fact there is no discernible crater at the locality, but sedimentary strata show abundant evidence of a powerful impact in the form of impact-melt droplets in the form of spherules together with shatter cones. These structures form as a result of sudden increase in pressure to 2 to 30 GPa: an extreme that can only be generated in underground nuclear explosions, and thus likely to bear witness to large asteroid impacts. The shocked rocks are immediately overlain by pillow lavas dated at 3.47 Ga, making the impact the earliest known. It has been speculated that impacts during the Archaean and Hadean Eons helped create conditions for the complex organic chemistry that eventually to the first living cells. Considering that entry of hypervelocity asteroids into the early Earth’s atmosphere probably caused such compression that temperatures were raised by adiabatic heating to about ten times that of the Sun’s surface, their ‘entry flashes’ would have sterilised the surface below; the opposite of such notions. Impacts may, however, have delivered both water and simple, inorganic hydrocarbons. Together with pulverisation of rock to make ‘fertiliser’ elements (e.g. K and P) more easily dissolved, they may have had some influence. Their input of thermal energy seems to me to be of little consequence, for decay of unstable isotopes of U, Th and K in the mantle would have heated the planet quite nicely and continuously from Year Zero onwards.

A fully revised edition of Steve Drury’s book Stepping Stones: The Making of Our Home World can now be downloaded as a free eBook

Bone tools widened hominins foraging options 1.5 Ma ago

Published on March 14, 2025March 13, 2025 by zooks777Leave a comment

Hominins have been making and using stone tools since at least 3.4 Ma, as shown by cut marks on bones and stone artefacts themselves. I use the sack term ‘hominin’ because the likely makers and users of the oldest tools are either australopithecines or paranthropoids, there being no fossils designates to the genus Homo of late-Pliocene age. So it might seem un-newsworthy to report that the oldest tools deliberately made from bone are now known to occur in 1.5 Ma old sediments from the famous sedimentary sequence at Olduvai Gorge in Tanzania (de la Torre, I and 8 others2025. Systematic bone tool production at 1.5 million years ago. Nature, v. 639; DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-08652-5). To be clear, there is abundant evidence that hominins had used bones, especially sturdy long bones, for digging perhaps, much earlier in hominin history. Again, paranthropoids have been implicated in their use. The bones found at Olduvai actually show signs of manufacture into useful objects prior to their use: they show clear signs of knapping to produce points and blades. The bones are among the sturdiest known from the Pleistocene, being from elephants and hippos. Before de la Torre and colleagues found what is essentially a bone-tool factory, it was thought that systematic use of bones in such a sophisticated manner only arose between 400 to 250 ka ago among early Homo in Europe. Sadly, fossils of whoever made the tools were not found at the site. Once again, paranthropoids as well as early Homo are known to have cohabited the area at that time.

‘Front, back and side’ views of a 1.5 Ma old tool made from an elephant humerus – its upper foreleg. The scale bar represents 5 cm. (Credit: de la Torre et al.; Fig 3a)

Bifacial Acheulean stone artefacts first appear in the rock record about 300 ka before these bone tools were made. So one idea that the authors put forward is that the same kind of stone knapping technique was transferred to the more abundant massive bones of the East African Pleistocene megafauna (in the absence or rarity of suitable blocks of stone?). But it remains unclear whether or not such tools were simply selected from very large bones smashed to get at their nutritious marrow. The first possibility implies a cultural shift, whereas the latter points simply to expedience. The authors are at pains to point out that the curious million-year gap in the record of bone tools may be ascribed either to the disappearance of bone technology or simply to archaeologists who worked elsewhere having not regarding bone fragments as the products of skills. That applies equally to earlier times, when bones were indeed used, though with not so much in the way of a ‘mental template’. As de la Torre et al. conclude ‘Future research needs to investigate whether similar bone tools were already produced in earlier times, persisted during the Acheulean and eventually evolved into Middle Pleistocene bone bifaces similar in shape, size and technology to their stone counterparts’.

Direct measurements of ancient atmospheric composition

Published on March 13, 2025 by zooks777Leave a comment

For decades, research into the composition of the Earth’s early atmosphere depended on indirect means. An example is the preservation of water-worn grains of sulphides and uranium oxides in coarse terrestrial sediments older than about 2,200 Ma. Their survival on the continental surface suggested that the atmosphere before then had vanishingly low O₂. Such grains would have otherwise been broken down by oxidation reactions. Younger sediments simply do not contain such detrital grains. This suggested the appearance of an oxidising atmosphere around 2.2 Ga ago: the Great Oxygenation Event. The greenhouse gases – carbon dioxide and methane – are also difficult to estimate directly, especially in the Precambrian. Once plants colonised the land surface, their photosynthesis depended on inhaling and exhaling air through stomata on the surface of leaves (see: Ancient CO₂ estimates worry climatologists; January 2017). The number of stomata per unit area of a leaf surface is expected to increase with lowering of atmospheric CO₂ and vice versa, which has been observed in plants grown in different air compositions. By comparing stomatal density in fossilised leaves of modern plants back to 800 ka allows the change to be calibrated against the record of CO₂ inside air bubbles trapped in ice-cores. This proxy method has given a guide to CO2 variations through the Cenozoic, Mesozoic and upper Palaeozoic Eras. However, the reliability of extinct plant leaves as proxies is suspect.

A fluid inclusion (about 0.2 mm) trapped in a crystal of halite (NaCl). Credit: alchetron.com

Is it possible to find air trapped by other means than in glacial ice? It may be. Tiny pockets of liquid and gas – fluid inclusions – are often found in minerals that crystallised at the Earth’s surface. The most common are crystals of salt (NaCl) and carbonates from ancient lake deposits. A 2019 study revealed that Late Triassic carbonates from Colorado, USA record an increase of atmospheric oxygen levels from 15 to 19% about 215 Ma ago over a period of just 3 million years as dinosaurs first spread into North America, then at equatorial latitudes in the Pangaea supercontinent. This sudden increase in the availability of oxygen may also be linked to the trend towards larger and larger dinosaurs worldwide. Going further back in time trace-metal chemistry of 1,400 Ma old marine sediments from China indicates oxygenated water that suggests an atmospheric oxygen level greater than 4% of that at present. Small as that might seem, it would have been sufficient to sustain animal respiration about half a billion years before the first evidence for the earliest animals. Further work on ancient salt and carbonate deposits confirms much higher oxygen levels than geochemists have expected previously.

Source: Voosen, P, 2025. Earth’s rocks hold whiffs of air from billions of years ago. Science, v.387, articlezhst73x; DOI: 10.1126/science.zhst73x

Life’s origins: a new variant on Darwin’s “warm little pond”

Published on March 3, 2025 by zooks7771 Comment

In 1871 Charles Darwin wrote to his friend Joseph Hooker, a botanist:

“It is often said that all the conditions for the first production of a living organism are now present, which could ever have been present. But if (& oh what a big if) we could conceive in some warm little pond with all sorts of ammonia & phosphoric salts, light, heat, electricity &c present, that a protein compound was chemically formed, ready to undergo still more complex changes, at the present day such matter w^d be instantly devoured, or absorbed, which would not have been the case before living creatures were formed.”

There have been several attempts over the last 150 years, starting with Miller and Urey in 1952, to create physical analogues for this famous insight (See: The origin of life on Earth: new developments). What such a physico-chemical environment on the early Earth could have been like has also been a fertile topic for discussion: literally warm pools at the surface; hot springs; seawater around deep-ocean hydrothermal vents; even droplets in clouds in the early atmosphere. Attention has recently moved to Darwin’s original surface pools through examination of modern ones. The most important content would be dissolved phosphorus compounds, because that element helps form the ‘backbone’ of the helix structure of RNA and DNA. But almost all natural waters today have concentrations of phosphorus that are far too low for such linkages to form by chemical processes, and also to produce lipids that form cell membranes and the ATP (adenosine triphosphate) so essential in all living metabolism. Phosphorus availability has been too low for most of geological time simply because living organisms are so efficient at removing what they need in order to thrive.

Mono Lake in semi-arid eastern California – a ‘soda lake’- is so concentrated by evaporation that pillars of carbonate grow above its surface

For the first life to form, phosphorus would somehow have had to be concentrated in watery solution as phosphate ions – [PO ₄]³⁻. The element’s source, like that of all others in the surface environment, is in magmas and the volcanic rocks that they form. Perhaps early chemical weathering or reactions between lavas and hydrothermal fluids could have released phosphate ions to solution from a trace mineral present in all lavas: the complex phosphate apatite (Ca₁₀(PO₄)₆(OH,F,Cl)₂). But that would still require extreme concentration for it to be easily available to the life-forming process. In January 2024 scientists at the University of Washington in Seattle, USA (Haas, S. et al. 2024. Biogeochemical explanations for the world’s most phosphate-rich lake, an origin-of-life analog. Nature Communications, v. 5, article 28; DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-01192-8) showed that the highest known concentrations of dissolved phosphorus occur in the so called “soda lakes” that are found in a variety of modern environments, from volcanically active continental rifts to swampy land. They contain dissolved sodium carbonate (washing soda) at very high concentrations so that they are extremely alkaline and often highly salty. Usually, they are shallow and have no outlet so that dry weather and high winds evaporate the water. Interestingly, the streams that flow into them are quite fresh, so soda lakes form where evaporation exceeds annual resupply of rainwater.

The high evaporation increases the dissolved content of many ions in such lakes to levels high enough for them for them to combine and precipitate calcium, sodium and magnesium as carbonates. In some, but not all soda lakes, such evaporative concentration also increases their levels of dissolved phosphate ions higher than in any other bodies of water. That is odd, since it might seem that phosphate ions should combine with dissolved calcium to form solid calcium phosphate making the water less P-rich. Haas et al. found that lakes which precipitate calcium and magnesium together in the form of dolomite (Ca,Mg)CO₃ have high dissolved phosphate. Removal of Ca and other metal ions through bonding to carbonate (CO₃) deprives dissolved phosphate ions in solution of metal ions with which they can bond. But why has dissolved phosphate not been taken up by organisms growing in the lakes: after all, it is an essential nutrient. The researchers found that some soda lakes that contain algal mats have much lower dissolved phosphate – it has been removed by the algae. But such lakes are not as salty as those rich in dissolved phosphate. They in turn contain far less algae whose metabolism is suppressed by high levels of dissolved NaCl (salt). Hass et al.’s hypothesis has now been supported by more research on soda lakes.

In an early, lifeless world phosphate concentrations in alkaline, salty lakes would be controlled by purely inorganic reactions. This strongly suggests that ‘warm little soda lakes’ enriched in dissolved sodium carbonate by evaporation, and which precipitated dolomite could have enabled phosphorus compounds to accumulate to levels needed for life to start. They might have been present on any watery world in the cosmos that sustained volcanism.

See also: Service, R.F. 2025. Early life’s phosphorus problem solved? Science, v. 387, p. 917; DOI: 10.1126/science.z78227f; Soda Lakes: The Missing Link in the Origin of Life? SciTechDaily, 26 January 2024. .

A fully revised edition of Steve Drury’s book Stepping Stones: The Making of Our Home World can now be downloaded as a free eBook

Modelling climate change since the Devonian

Published on February 24, 2025 by zooks777Leave a comment

A consortium of geoscientists from Australia, Britain and France, led by Andrew Merdith of the University of Adelaide examines the likely climate cooling mechanisms that may have set off the two great ‘icehouse’ intervals in the last 541 Ma (Merdith, A.S. et al. 2025. Phanerozoic icehouse climates as the result of multiple solid-Earth cooling mechanisms. Science Advances, v. 11, article eadm9798: DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adm9798). They consider the first to be the global cooling that began in the latter part of the Devonian culminating in the Carboniferous-Permian icehouse. The second is the Cenozoic global cooling to form the permanent Antarctic ice cap around 34 Ma and culminated in cyclical ice ages on the northern continents after 2.4 Ma during the Pleistocene. They dismiss the 40 Ma long, late Ordovician to early Silurian glaciation that left its imprint on North Africa and South America – then combined in the Gondwana supercontinent. The data about two of the parameters used in their model – the degree of early colonisation of the continents by plants and their influence on terrestrial weathering are uncertain in that protracted event. Yet the Hirnantian glaciation reached 20°S at its maximum extent in the Late Ordovician around 444 Ma to cover about a third of Gondwana: it was larger than the present Antarctic ice cap. For that reason, their study spans only Devonian and later times.

Fluctuation in evidence for the extent of glacial conditions since the Devonian: the ‘ice line’ is grey. The count of glacial proxy occurrences in each 10° of latitude through time is shown in the colour key. Credit: Merdith et al., Fig 2A.

Merdith et al. rely on four climatic proxies. The first of these comprises indicators of cold climates, such as glacial dropstones, tillites and evidence in sedimentary rocks of crystals of hydrated calcium carbonate (ikaite – CaCO₃.6H₂O) that bizarrely forms only at around 0°C . From such occurrences it is possible to define an ‘ice line’ linking different latitudes through geological time. Then there are estimates of global average surface temperature; low-latitude sea surface temperature; and estimates of atmospheric CO₂. The ‘ice-line’ data records an additional, long period of glaciation in the Jurassic and early Cretaceous, but evidence does not extend to latitudes lower than 60°. It is regarded by Merdith et al. as an episode of ‘cooling’ rather than an ‘icehouse’. Their model assesses sources and sinks of CO₂since the Devonian Period.

The main natural source of the principal greenhouse gas CO₂ is degassing through volcanism expelled from the mantle and breakdown of carbonate rock in subducted lithosphere. Natural sequestration of carbon involves weathering of exposed rock that releases dissolved CO₂ and ions of calcium and magnesium. A recently compiled set of plate reconstructions that chart the waxing and waning of tectonics since the Devonian Period allows them to model the tectonically driven release of carbon over time, with time scales on the order of tens to hundreds of Ma. The familiar Milanković forcing cycles on the order of tens to hundreds of ka are thus of no significance in Merdith et al.’s broader conception of icehouse episodes Their modelling shows high degassing during the Cretaceous, modern levels during the late Palaeozoic and early Mesozoic, and low emissions during the Devonian. The model also suggests that cooling stemmed from variations in the positions and configuration of continents over time. Another crucial factor is the tempo of exposure of rocks that are most prone to weathering. The most important are rocks of the ocean lithosphere incorporated into the continents to form ophiolite masses. The release of soluble products of weathering into ocean basins through time acts as a fluctuating means of ‘fertilising’ so that more carbon can be sequestered in deep sediments in the form of organisms’ unoxidised tissue and hard parts made of calcium carbonates and phosphates. Less silicate weathering results in a boost to atmospheric CO₂.

Only two long, true icehouse episodes emerge from the empirical proxy data, expressed by the ‘ice-line’ plots. Restricting the modelling to single global processes that might be expected to influence degassing or carbon sequestration produces no good fits to the climatic proxy data. Running the model with all the drivers “off” produces more or less continuous icehouse conditions since the Devonian. The model’s climate-related outputs thus imply that many complex processes working together in syncopation may have driven the gross climate vagaries over the last 400 Ma or so. A planet of Earth’s size without such complexity would throughout that period have had a high-CO₂ warm climate. According to Andrew Merdith its fluctuation from greenhouse to icehouse conditions in the late Palaeozoic and the Cenozoic were probably due to “coincidental combination of very low rates of global volcanism, and highly dispersed continents with big mountains, which allow for lots of global rainfall and therefore amplify reactions that remove carbon from the atmosphere”.

Geological history is, almost by definition, somewhat rambling. So, despite despite the large investment in seeking a computed explanation of data drawn from the record, the outcome reflects that in a less than coherent account. To state that many complex processes working at once may have driven climate vagaries over the last 400 Ma or so, is hardly a major advance: palaeoclimatologists have said more or less the same for a couple of decades or more, but have mainly proposed single driving mechanisms. One aspect of Merdith et al.’s results seems to be of particular interest. ‘Icehouse’ conditions seem to be rare events interspersed with broader ice-free periods. We evolved within the mammal-dominated ecosystems on the continents during the latest of these anomalous climatic episodes. And we and those ecosystems now rely on a cool world. As the supervisor of the project commented, ‘Over its long history, the Earth likes it hot, but our human society does not’.

Readers may like to venture into how some philosophers of science deal with a far bigger question; ‘Is intelligent life a rare, chance event throughout the universe?’ That is, might we be alone in the cosmos? In the same issue of Science Advances is a paper centred on just such questions (Mills, D.B. et al. 2025. A reassessment of the “hard-steps” model for the evolution of intelligent life. Science Advances, v. 11, article eads5698; DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.ads5698). It stems from cosmologist Brandon Carter’s ‘Anthropic Principle’ first developed at Nicolas Copernicus’s 500^th birthday celebrations in 1973. This has since been much debated by scientists and philosophers – a gross understatement as it knocks the spots off the Drake Equation. To take the edge off what seems to be a daunting task, Mills et al. consider a corollary of the Anthropic Principle, the ‘hard steps model’. That, in a nutshell, postulates that the origin of humanity and its ability to ponder on observations of the universe required a successful evolutionary passage through a number of hard steps. It predicts that such intelligence is ‘exceedingly rare’ in the universe. Icehouse conditions are respectable candidates for evolutionary ‘hard steps’, and in the history of Earth there have been five of them.

A fully revised edition of Steve Drury’s book Stepping Stones: The Making of Our Home World can now be downloaded as a free eBook

A cure for the Great British Pothole Plague?

Published on February 6, 2025 by zooks777Leave a comment

Anyone who read the manifestos of the mainstream political parties in the UK – there may not be many who did – would have been amused to see that all promised to resolve the plague of potholes in the countries roads, both major and minor. For decades road users have been alarmed when hitting a pothole and in some cases had damage inflicted on their vehicles, and in the case of those on two wheels, on themselves. The RAC (Royal Automobile Club) has estimated that there are, on average, six potholes per mile on Britain’s roads: the greatest density in Europe. The AA (Automobile Association) estimated that almost £0.6 billion was spent in 2024 repairing pothole-damaged vehicles. This is not a new phenomenon. Before the advent of turnpike trusts in the late 18^th century, which maintained roads travelled by Britain’s mail coach services, it was not uncommon to encounter potholes up to two metres deep. Legend has it that on one such route through northern Nottinghamshire two coach horses fell into a pothole and drowned. Scottish engineer, John Loudon McAdam invented a solution around 1820: crushed stone laid on the road surface in slightly convex layers, the topmost being bonded with stone dust. This ‘macadam’ surface created cambered highways that drained rainwater to the sides and downwards. Modern roads are still based on that principle, with the addition of tar or bitumen to the top layer to produce a hard, impermeable surface, which also prevents aggregate and dust being sucked from the surface by fast moving vehicles.

So, why the potholes? Several reasons: increased traffic; heavier vehicles; less maintenance; patching rather than resurfacing. Most important: the materials and the weather. Dry, hot weather softens the bitumen and drives out volatile hydrocarbons making the bitumen less plastic. The pounding of tyres in cooler weather fractures the now stiffened bitumen, mainly at microscopic scales. Wetting of the tarmac seeps water into the microfractures. The formation of ice films jacks opens the microfractures and produces more in the cold stiff bitumen, eventually to separate the particles of aggregate in the asphalt. The wearing course begins to crumble so that aggregate grains escape and scatter. Thus weakened, the top layer breaks up into larger fragments and a pit forms to join up with others so that a pothole forms and grows. Wheels of traffic bounce when they cross a pothole, the shock of which causes the centre of degradation to shift and create more cavities. Simply filling the existing potholes merely serves to create new ones: a vicious cycle that can only be broken by complete resurfacing: the traffic cones come out!.

All this has been known for well over a century by civil engineers. Around the start of the 21^st century – maybe slightly earlier – it dawned on engineers that the critical problem was degradation of bitumen. A petroleum derivative, occurring naturally as surface seeps in some oilfields, bitumen is chemically complex: a combination of asphaltenes and maltenes (resins and oils). Deterioration of bitumen through evaporation, oxidation and exposure to ultraviolet radiation decreases the maltene content and stiffens the binding agent in asphalt. So the earliest attempts at reducing pothole formation centred on rejuvenation by periodically adding substitutes for maltenes to road surfaces. Diesel (gas-oil) works, but is obviously hazardous. More suitable are vegetable oils such as waste cooking oils or those produced by pyrolysis of cotton, straw, wood waste and even animal manure. The problem is getting the rejuvenators into existing asphalt surfaces: clearly, simply spraying them on the surface seems a recipe for disaster! A solution that dawned on engineers around 2005 was to make bitumen that is ‘self-healing’.

Schematic of the production of microcapsules from club moss spores to contain sunflower oil to be used in self-healing asphalt (Credit: Alpizar-Reyes, E. *et al*. 2022)

Simply mixing rejuvenators into bitumen during asphalt manufacture will not do the trick, for the result would be a weakened binding agent at the outset. For the last 15 years researchers have sought means of adding rejuvenators in porous capsules, to release them as microfractures begin to form: on demand, as it were. There have been dozens of publications about experiments that found ‘sticking points’. However, in early 2025 what seems to be a viable breakthrough splashed in the British press. It was made by an interdisciplinary team of scientists from King’s College London and Swansea University, in collaboration with scientists in Chile. They chemically treated spores of Lycopodium club mosses to perforate their cell walls and clear out their contents to be replaced by sunflower oil, an effective bitumen rejuvenator. Experiments showed that such microcapsules released the oil to heal cracks in aged bitumen samples in around an hour. Mixed into bitumen to be added to asphalt they would remain ‘dormant’ until a microfracture formed in their vicinity released it, thereby making the asphalt binder self healing.

Will such an advance finally resolve the pothole plague? It may take a while …

See: Alpizar-Reyes, E. et al. 2022. Biobased spore microcapsules for asphalt self-healing. ACS Applied Materials & Interfaces, v. 14, p. 31296-31311; DOI: 10.1021/acsami.2c07301

A fully revised edition of Steve Drury’s book Stepping Stones: The Making of Our Home World can now be downloaded as a free eBook

Early hominin dispersal in Eurasia

Published on January 30, 2025 by zooks777Leave a comment

Evidence from Dmanisi in Georgia that Homo erectus may have been the first advanced hominin to leave Africa about 1.8 Ma ago was a big surprise (see: First out of Africa? November 2003). Remains of five individuals included one skull of an aged person who face was so deformed that he or she must have been cared for by others for many years. So, a second surprise from Dmanisi was that human empathy arose far earlier than most people believed. Since 2002 there has been only a single further find of hominin bones of such antiquity, at Longgudong in central China. For the period between 1.0 and 2.0 Ma eight other sites in Eurasia have yielded hominin remains. If finds of stone tools and evidence of deliberate butchery – cut marks on prey animals’ bones – are accepted as tell-tale signs, the Eurasian hominin record is considerably larger, and longer,. There are 11 Eurasian sites that have yielded such evidence – but no hominin remains – that are older than Longgudong: in Russia, China, the Middle East, North Africa and northern India. The oldest, at Masol in northern India is 2.6 Ma old. In January 2025 the earliest European evidence for hominin activity was reported from Grăunceanu in Romania (Curran, S.C. and 15 others 2025. Hominin presence in Eurasia by at least 1.95 million years ago. Nature Communications, v. 16, article 836; DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-56154-9) in the form of animal bones showing clear signs of butchery, as well as stone tools, but no hominin fossils.

Animal bones showing cut marks from the 1.95 Ma old Grăunceanu site in Romania. (Credit: Curran et al. 2025, Figs 2A and C)

There were stone-tool makers who butchered prey in Africa as early as 3.4 Ma ago (see: Stone tools go even further back; May 2015), but without direct evidence of which hominin was involved. Several possible candidates have been suggested: Australopithecus; Kenyanthropus; Paranthropus. The earliest known African remains of H. erectus have been dated at around 2.0 Ma. So, all that can be said with some certainty about the pre-2 Ma migrants to Eurasia, until fossils of that antiquity are found, is that they were hominins of some kind: maybe advanced australopithecines, paranthropoids or early humans. Those from Longgudong and Dmanisi probably are early Homo erectus, and 2 others (1.7 and 1.6 Ma) from China have been designated similarly. Younger, pre-1.0 Ma Eurasian hominins from Israel, Indonesia, Spain and Turkey are currently un-named at the species level, but are allegedly members of the genus Homo.

So, what can be teased from the early Eurasian hominin finds? Some certainly travelled thousands of kilometres from their assumed origins in Africa, but none penetrated further north than about 50°N. Perhaps they could not cope with winters at higher latitudes, especially during ice ages. To reach as far as eastern and western Eurasia suggests that dispersal following exit from Africa would have taken many generations. There is no reason to suppose continual travel; rather the reverse, staying put in areas with abundant resources while they remained available, and then moving on when they became scarce. Climate cycles, first paced at around 40 ka (early Pleistocene) then at around 100 ka (mid Pleistocene and later), would have been the main drivers for hominin population movements, as it would have been for game and vegetation.

After about 3 Ma the 40 ka climate cyclicity evolved to greater differences in global temperature between glacial and interglacial episodes, and even more so after the mid Pleistocene transition to 100 ka cycles (see Wikipedia entry for the mid-Pleistocene Transition). Thus, it seems likely that chances of survival of dispersed bands of hominins decreased over hundreds of millennia. Could populations have survived in particularly favourable areas; i.e. those at low latitudes? If so did both culture and the hominins themselves evolve? Alternatively, was migration in a series of pulses out of Africa and then dispersal in all directions, most ending in regional extinction? Almost certainly, pressures to leave Africa would have been driven by climate, for instance by increased aridity as global temperatures waned and sea-level falls made travel to Eurasia easier. There may also have been secondary, shorter migrations within Eurasia, again driven by environmental changes. Without more data from newly discovered sites we can go little further. Within the 35 known, pre-1 Ma hominin sites there are two clusters: southern and central China, and the Levant, Turkey and Georgia. Could they yield more developments? A 2016 article in Scientific American about Chinese H. erectus finds makes particularly interesting reading in this regard.

Neanderthals and the elusive Denisovans began to establish permanent Eurasian ranges, after roughly 600 ka ago. Both groups survived until after first contact with waves of anatomically modern humans in the last 100 ka, with whom some interbred before vanishing from the record. However, evidence from the DNA of both groups suggests an interesting possibility. Before the two groups split genetically, their common ancestors (H. heidelbergensis or H. antecessor?) apparently interbred with genetically more ancient Eurasian hominins (see Wikipedia entry for Neanderthal evolution). This intriguing hint suggests that more may be discovered when substantial remains of Denisovans – i.e. more than a few teeth and small bones – are discovered and yield more DNA. My guess is such a future development will stem from analysis of early hominin remains in China, currently regarded as H. erectus. See China discovers landmark human evolution fossils. Xinhua News Agency 9 December 2024)

A fully revised edition of Steve Drury’s book Stepping Stones: The Making of Our Home World can now be downloaded as a free eBook

The origin of life on Earth: new developments

Published on January 22, 2025February 4, 2025 by zooks7771 Comment

Debates around the origin of Earth’s life and what the first organism was like resemble the mythical search for the Holy Grail. Chivalric romanticists of the late 12^th and early 13^th centuries were pretty clear about the Grail – some kind of receptacle connected either with the Last Supper or Christ’s crucifixion – but never found it. Two big quests that engage modern science centre on how the chemical building blocks of the earliest cells arose and the last universal common ancestor (LUCA) of all living things. Like the Grail’s location, neither is likely to be fully resolved because they can only be sought in a very roundabout way: both verge on the imaginary. The fossil record is limited to organisms that left skeletal remains, traces of their former presence, and a few degraded organic molecules. The further back in geological time the more sedimentary rock has either been removed by erosion or fundamentally changed at high temperatures and pressures. Both great conundrums can only be addressed by trying to reconstruct processes and organisms that occurred or existed more than 4 billion years ago.

Artistic impression of the early Earth dominated by oceans (Credit: Sci-news.com)

In the 1950s Harold Urey of the University of Chicago and his student Stanley Miller mixed water, methane, ammonia and hydrogen sulfide in lab glassware, heated it up and passed electrical discharges through it. They believed the simple set-up crudely mimicked Hadean conditions at the Earth surface. They were successful in generating more complex organic chemicals than their starting materials, though the early atmosphere and oceans are now considered to have been chemically quite different. Such a ‘Frankenstein’ approach has been repeated since with more success (see Earth-logs April 2024), creating 10 of the 20 amino acids plus the peptide bonds that link them up to make all known proteins, and even amphiphiles, the likely founders of cell walls. The latest attempt has been made by Spanish scientists at the Andalusian Earth Sciences Institute, the Universities of Valladolid and Cadiz, and the International Physics Centre in San Sebastian (Jenewein, C. et al 2024. Concomitant formation of protocells and prebiotic compounds under a plausible early Earth atmosphere. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, v. 122, article 413816122; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.241381612).

Biomorphs formed by polymerisation of HCN (Credit: Jenewein, C. et al 2024, Figure 2)

Jenewein and colleagues claim to have created cell-like structures, or ‘biomorphs’ at nanometre- and micrometre scale – spheres and polyp-like bodies – from a more plausible atmosphere of CO₂, H₂O, and N₂. These ‘protocells’ seem to have formed from minutely thin (150 to 3000 nanometres) polymer films built from hydrogen cyanide that grew on the surface of the reaction chamber as electric discharges and UV light generated HCN and more complex ‘prebiotic’ chemicals. Apparently, these films were catalysed by SiO₂ (silica) molecules from the glass reactor. Note: In the Hadean breakdown of olivine to serpentinite as sea water reacted with ultramafic lavas would have released abundant silica. Serpentinisation also generates hydrogen. Intimate release of gas formed bubbles to create the spherical and polyp-like ‘protocells’. The authors imagine the Hadean global ocean permanently teeming with such microscopic receptacles. Such a veritable ‘primordial soup’ would be able to isolate other small molecules, such as amino acids, oligopeptides, nucleobases, and fatty acids, to generate more complex organic molecules in micro-reactors en route to the kind of complex, self-sustaining systems we know as life.

So, is it possible to make a reasonable stab at what that first kind of life may have been? It was without doubt single celled. To reproduce it must have carried a genetic code enshrined in DNA, which is unique not only to all species, but to individuals. The key to tracking down LUCA is that it represents the point at which the evolutionary trees of the fundamental domains of modern life life – eukarya (including animals, plants and fungi), bacteria, and archaea – converge to a single evolutionary stem. There is little point in using fossils to resolve this issue because only multicelled life leaves tangible traces, and the first of those was found in 2,100 Ma old sediments in Gabon (see: The earliest multicelled life; July 2010). The key is using AI to compare the genetic sequences of the hugely diverse modern biosphere. Modern molecular phylogenetics and computing power can discern from their similarities and differences the relative order in which various species and broader groups split from others. It can also trace the origins of specific genes that provides clues about earlier genetic associations. Given a rate of mutation the modern differences provide estimates of when each branching occurred. The most recent genetic delving has been achieved by a consortium based at various institutions in Britain, the Netherlands, Hungary and Japan (Moody, E.R.R. and 18 others 2024. The nature of the last universal common ancestor and its impact on the early Earth system. Nature Ecology & Evolution, v.8, pages 1654–1666; DOI: 10.1038/s41559-024-02461-1).

Moody et al have pushed back the estimated age of LUCA to halfway through the Hadean, between 4.09 to 4.33 billion years (Ga), well beyond the geologically known age of the earliest traces of life (3.5 Ga). That age for LUCA in itself is quite astonishing: it could have been only a couple of hundred million years after the Moon-forming interplanetary collision. Moreover, they have estimated that Darwin’s Ur-organism had a genome of around 2 million base pairs that encoded about 2600 proteins: roughly comparable to living species of bacteria and archaea, and thus probably quite advanced in evolutionary terms. The gene types probably carried by LUCA suggest that it may have been an anaerobic acetogen; i.e. an organism whose metabolism generated acetate (CH₃COO⁻) ions. Acetogens may produce their own food as autotrophs, or metabolise other organisms (heterotrophs). If LUCA was a heterotroph, then it must have subsisted in an ecosystem together with autotrophs which it consumed, possibly by fermentation. To function it also required hydrogen that can be supplied by the breakdown of ultramafic rocks to serpentinites, which tallies with the likely ocean-world with ultramafic igneous crust of the Hadean (see the earlier paragraphs about protocells). If an autotroph, LUCA would have had an abundance of CO₂ and H₂ to sustain it, and may have provided food for heterotrophs in the early ecosystem. The most remarkable possibility discerned by Moody et al is that LUCA may have had a kind of immune system to stave off viral infection.

The carbon cycle on the Hadean Earth (Credit: Moody et al. 2024; Figure 3e)

The Hadean environment was vastly different to that of modern times: a waterworld seething with volcanism; no continents; a target for errant asteroids and comets; more rapidly spinning with a 12 hour day; a much closer Moon and thus far bigger tides. The genetic template for the biosphere of the following four billion years was laid down then. LUCA and its companions may well have been unique to the Earth, as are their descendants. It is hard to believe that other worlds with the potential for life, even those in the solar system, could have followed a similar biogeochemical course. They may have life, but probably not as we know it . . .

See also: Ball, P. 2025. Luca is the progenitor of all life on Earth. But its genesis has implications far beyond our planet. The Observer, 19 January 2025.

A fully revised edition of Steve Drury’s book Stepping Stones: The Making of Our Home World can now be downloaded as a free eBook

Was Venus once habitable?

Published on January 17, 2025 by zooks777Leave a comment

The surface of Venus from the USSR *Venera 14* lander

It is often said that Earth has a twin: Venus, the second planet from the Sun. That isn’t true, despite the fact that both have similar size and density. Venus, in fact, is even more inhospitable that either Mars or the Moon, having surface temperatures (~465°C) that are high enough to melt lead or, more graphically, those in a pizza oven. The only vehicles successfully to have landed on Venus (the Russian Venera series) survived for a mere 2 hours, but some did did send back data and images. That near incandescence is masked by the Venusian atmosphere that comprises 96.5% carbon dioxide, 3.5% nitrogen and 0.05 % sulfur dioxide, with mere traces of other gases including extremely low amounts of water vapour (0.002%) and virtually no oxygen. The dense atmosphere imposes a pressure at Venus’s surface tht is 92 times that on Earth: so dense that CO₂ and N₂ are, strictly speaking, not gases but supercritical fluids at the surface. At present Venus is definitely inimical to any known type of life. It is the victim of an extreme, runaway greenhouse effect.

As it stands, Venus’s geology is also very different from that of the Earth. Because its upper atmosphere contains clouds of highly reflective sulfuric acid aerosols only radar is capable of penetrating to the surface and returning to have been monitored by a couple of orbital vehicles: Magellan (NASA 1990 to 1994) and Venus Express (European Space Agency 2006 to 2014). The latter also carried means of mapping Venus’s surface gravitational field. The radar imagery shows that 80% of the Venusian surface comprises somewhat wrinkled plains that suggests a purely volcanic origin. Indeed more that 85,000 volcanoes have been mapped, 167 of which are over 100 km across. Much of the surface appears to have been broken into polygonal blocks or ‘campuses’ (campus is Latin for field) that give the impression of ‘crazy paving’. A peculiar kind of local-scale tectonics has operated there, but nothing like the plate tectonics on Earth in either shape or scale.

Polygonal blocks or ‘campuses’ on the lowland surface of Venus. Note the zones of ridges that roughly parallel ‘campus’ margins. Credit: Paul K. Byrne, North Carolina State University and Sean C. Solomon, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory

Many of the rocky bodies of the solar system are pocked by impact craters – the Earth has few, simply because erosion and sedimentary burial on the continents, and subduction of ocean floors have removed them from view. The Venusian surface has so few that it can, in its entirety, be surmised to have formed by magmatic ‘repaving’ since about 500 Ma ago at least. Earlier geological process can only be guessed at, or modelled in some way. A recent paper postulates that ‘there are several lines of evidence that suggest that Venus once did have a mobile lithosphere perhaps not dissimilar to Earth …’ (Weller, M.B. & Kiefer, W.S. 2025. The punctuated evolution of the Venusian atmosphere from a transition in mantle convective style and volcanic outgassing. Science Advances, v. 11, article eadn986; DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adn986). One large, but subtle feature may have formed by convergence similar to that of collision tectonics. There are also gravitational features that hint at active subduction at depth, although the surface no longer shows connected features such as trenches and island arcs. Local extension has been inferred from other data.

Weller and Kiefer suspect that Venus in the past may have shifted between a form of mobile plate tectonics and stagnant ‘lid’ tectonics, the vast volcanic plains having formed by processes akin to flood volcanism on a planetary scale. Venus’s similar density to that of Earth suggests that it is made of similar rocky material surrounding a metallic core. However, that planet has a far weaker magnetic field suggesting that the core is unable to convect and behave like a dynamo to generate a magnetic field. That may explain why the atmosphere of Venus is almost completely dry. With no magnetic field to deflect it the solar wind of charged particles directly impacts the upper atmosphere, in contrast to the Earth where only a very small proportion descends at the poles. Together with the action of UV solar radiation that splits water vapour into its constituent hydrogen and oxygen ions, the solar wind adds energy to them so that they escape to space. This atmospheric ‘erosion’ has steadily stripped the atmosphere of Venus – and thus its solid surface – of all but a minute trace of water, leaving behind higher mass molecules, particularly carbon dioxide, emitted by its volcanism. Of course, this process has vastly amplified the greenhouse effect that makes Venus so hot. Early on the planet may have had oceans and even primitive life, which on Earth extract CO₂ by precipitating carbonates and by photosynthesis, respectively. But they no longer exist.

The high surface temperature on Venus has made its internal geothermal gradient very different from Earth’s; i.e. increasing from 465°C with depth, instead of from about 15°C on Earth. As a result, everywhere beneath the surface of Venus its mantle has been more able to melt and generate magma. Earlier in its history it may have behaved more like Earth, but eventually flipped to continual magmatic ‘repaving’. To investigate how this evolution may have occurred Weller and Kiefer created 3-D spherical models of geological activity, beginning with Earth-like tectonics – a reasonable starting point because of the probable Earth-like geochemistry of Venus. My simplified impression of what they found is that the periodic blurting of magma well-known from Earth history to have created flood-basalt events without disturbing plate tectonics proceeded on Venus with progressively greater violence. Such events here emitted massive amounts of CO₂into the atmosphere over short (~1 Ma) time scales and resulted in climate change, but Earth’s surface processes have always returned to ‘normal’. Flood-basalt episodes here have had a rough periodicity of around 35 Ma. Weller and Kiefer’s modelling seems to suggest that such events on Venus may have been larger. Repetition of such events, which emitted CO₂ that surface processes could not erase before the next event, would progressively ramp up surface temperatures and the geothermal gradient. Eventually climatic heating would drive water from the surface into the atmosphere, to be lost forever through interaction with the solar wind. Without rainfall made acid by dissolved CO₂, rock weathering that tempers the greenhouse effect on Earth would cease on Venus. The increased geothermal gradient would change any earlier rigid, Earth-like lithosphere to more ductile material, thereby shutting down the formation of plates, the essence of tectonics on Earth. It may have been something along those lines that made Venus inimical to life, and some may fear that anthropogenic global warming here might similarly doom the Earth to become an incandescent and sterile crucible orbiting the Sun. But as Mark Twain observed in 1897 after reading The New York Herald’s account that he was ill and possibly dying in London, ‘The report of my death was an exaggeration’. It would suit my narrative better had he said ‘… was premature’!

The Earth has a very large Moon because of a stupendous collision with a Mars-sized planet shortly after it accreted. That fundamentally reset Earth’s bulk geochemistry: a sort of Year Zero event. It endowed both bodies with magma oceans from which several tectonic scenarios developed on Earth from Eon to Eon. There is no evidence that Venus had such a catastrophic beginning. By at least 3.7 billion years ago Earth had a strong magnetic field. Protected by that thereafter from the solar wind, it has never lost its huge endowment of water; solid, liquid or gaseous. It seems that it did go through a stagnant lid style of tectonics early on, that transitioned to plate tectonics around the end of the Hadean Eon (~4.0 Ga), with a few hiccups during the Archaean Eon. And it did develop life as an integral part of the rock cycle. Venus, fascinating as it is, shows no sign of either, and that’s hardly surprising. Those factors and its being much closer to the Sun may have condemned it from the outset.

A fully revised edition of Steve Drury’s book Stepping Stones: The Making of Our Home World can now be downloaded as a free eBook

Global natural hydrogen resources: a CO2 free future??

Published on December 19, 2024December 18, 2024 by zooks777Leave a comment

The idea of a ‘Hydrogen Economy’ has been around for at least six decades, its main attraction being that when hydrogen is burned it combines with oxygen to form H₂O. It might seem to be the ultimate ‘green’ energy source, but it is currently being touted by governments and petroleum companies in what is widely regarded as ‘green washing’. The technology favoured by that axis uses steam reforming of the methane that dominates natural petroleum gas, through the reaction:

CH₄+ H₂O → CO + 3H₂

It’s actually not much different from producing coke gas from coal, which began in the 19^th century and is now largely abadoned. Because carbon monoxide (CO) reacts with atmospheric oxygen to form CO₂ this process is by no means ‘green’ and is properly referred to as ‘grey’ hydrogen. Only if the CO is stored permanently underground could steam reforming not add to greenhouse warming. That puts the approach in the same category as ‘carbon capture and storage’, with all the possible difficulties inherent in that technology, which has yet to be demonstrated on a large scale. Such hydrogen is classified as a ‘blue’. Colour coding hydrogen is described nicely by the British National Grid. They give another six varieties. Green and yellow hydrogen are produced by electrolysing water using wind or solar power respectively. The pink variety uses nuclear power in the same fashion. Black or brown hydrogen is that produced by coking coal or stewing-up brown coal (lignite) which amazingly are contemplated in Australia and Germany. There is even a turquoise variety can be produced if methane is somehow turned into hydrogen and solid carbon using renewables. There is another category (white) which is hydrogen produced by a variety of natural, geochemical processes.

Distribution of ophiolites around the Eastern Mediterranean and Black Seas. Many orogenic belts are endowed to a similar extent. (Credit: Gültekin Topuz, Istanbul Technical University)

Earth-logs discussed white hydrogen in March 2023 when news emerged of gas that was 98% hydrogen leaking from a water borehole in Mali. The local people harnessed this surprising resource to generate electricity for their village. It also emerges in springs from ultramafic rocks, having formed through weathering of the mineral olivine:

3Fe₂SiO₄+ 2H₂O → 2 Fe₃O₄ + 3SiO₂ +3H₂

Much the same reaction occurs beneath the ocean floor where hydrothermal fluids alter basalts and in geothermal springs that emerge from onshore basalt lavas. Such ‘white’ hydrogen emissions are widespread. So an unknown, but possibly huge amount of hydrogen is leaking into the atmosphere continuously. Because of its tiny nucleus – just a single proton – atmospheric hydrogen quickly escapes to outer space: what a waste! Equally as interesting is that inducing the breakdown of ultramafic rock to yield hydrogen, by pumping water and carbon dioxide into them, may also be a means of leak-free carbon sequestration. This produces the complex mineral serpentine and magnesium carbonate. The reaction gives off heat and so is self sustaining until pumping is stopped.

It has been estimated that by 2050 the annual global demand for hydrogen will reach 530 million t. Just how big is the potential resource to meet such a demand? Natural weathering and hydrothermal processes have always functioned. Some of the hydrogen produced by them may have built-up in reservoirs like the one in Mali, some is escaping. Neither the magnitude of annual natural generation of hydrogen nor the amount trapped in porous sedimentary rocks are known in any detail. A recent survey of how much may be trapped gives a range from 10³ to 10¹⁰ million metric tons (Ellis, G.S. & Gelman, S.E. 2024. Model predictions of global geologic hydrogen resources. Science Advances, v. 10, article eado0955; DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.ado0955), most probably 5.6 trillion t. If only a tenth of that is recoverable, replacing fossil-fuel energy with that from white hydrogen to achieve net-zero CO₂ emissions would be sustainable for about 400 years. That magnitude of trapped hydrogen reserves well exceeds all proven reserves of natural gas.

This estimate assumes using only hydrogen that has been naturally produced and stored beneath the Earth’s surface. Basalts and ultramafic rocks exposed at the land surface as ophiolites – ancient oceanic crust thrust onto continental crust – are abundant on every continent. Inducing hydrogen-producing chemical reactions in them by pumping water and CO₂ into them is little different from the technology being used in fracking. This potential resource is effectively limitless. Combined with renewable energy technology, a hydrogen economy has no conceivable need for fossil fuels, except as organic-chemistry feedstock. Such a scenario for stabilising climate is almost certainly feasible. It could use the capital, technology and skills currently deployed by the petroleum industry that is currently driving society and the Earth in the opposite direction. It is capable of drilling 10 km below the continental surface or the ocean floor, and even into the Earth’s mantle that is made of . . . ultramafic rock.

Best wishes for the festive season to all Earth-logs followers and visitors

The earliest known human-Neanderthal relations

Published on December 15, 2024 by zooks777Leave a comment

The first anatomically modern humans (AMH) known to have left their remains outside of Africa lived about 200 ka ago in Greece and the Middle East. They were followed by several short-lived migrations that got as far as Europe, leaving very few fossils or artefacts. Over that time Neanderthals were continually present. Migration probably depended on windows of opportunity controlled by pressures from climatic changes in Africa and sea level being low enough to leave their heartland: perhaps as many as 8 or 9 before 70 ka, when continuous migration out of Africa began. The first long-enduring AMH presence in Europe began around 47 ka ago.

For about 7 thousand years thereafter – about 350 generations – AMH and Neanderthals co-occupied Europe. Evidence is growing that the two groups shared technology. After 40 ka there are no tangible signs of Neanderthals other than segments of their DNA that constitute a proportion of the genomes of modern non-African people. They and AMH must have interbred at some time in the last 200 ka until Neanderthals disappeared. In the same week in late 2024 two papers that shed much light on that issue were published in the leading scientific journals, Nature and Science, picked up by the world’s news media. Both stem from research led by researchers at the Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology in Leipzig, Germany. They focus on new DNA results from the genomes of ancient and living Homo sapiens. One centred on 59 AMH fossils dated between 45 and 2.2 ka and 275 living humans (Iasi, L. M. N. and 6 others 2024. Neanderthal ancestry through time: Insights from genomes of ancient and present-day humans Science, v. 386, p. 1239-1246: DOI: 10.1126/science.adq3010. PDF available by request to leonardo_iasi@eva.mpg.de). The other concerns genomes recovered from seven AMH individuals from the oldest sites in Germany and Czechia. (Sümer, A. P. and 44 others 2024. Earliest modern human genomes constrain timing of Neanderthal admixture. Nature, online article; DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-08420-x. PDF available by request to arev_suemer@eva.mpg.de ).

Leonardo Iasi and colleagues from the US and UK examined Neanderthal DNA segments found in more than 300 AMH genomes, both ancient and in living people, by many other researchers. Their critical focus was on lengths of such segments. Repeated genetic recombination in the descendants of those individuals who had both AMH and Neanderthal parents results in shortening of the lengths of their inherited Neanderthal DNA segments. That provides insights into the timing and duration of interbreeding. The approach used by Iasi et al. used sophisticated statistics to enrich their analysis of Neanderthal-human gene flow. They were able to show that the vast majority of Neanderthal inheritance stems from a single period of such gene flow into the common ancestors of all living people who originated outside Africa. This genetic interchange seems to have lasted for about 7 thousand years after 50 ka. This tallies quite closely with the period when fossil and cultural evidence supports AMH and Neanderthals having co-occupied Europe.

Reconstruction of the woman whose skull was found at Zlatý kůň, Czechia. Credit: Tom Björklund / Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology.

The other study, led by Arev Sümer, has an author list of 44 researchers from Germany, the US, Spain, Australia, Israel, the UK, France, Sweden, Denmark and Czechia. The authors took on a difficult task: extracting full genomes from seven of the oldest AMH fossils found in Europe, six from a cave Ranis in Germany and one from about 230 km away at Zlatý kůň in Czechia. Human bones, dated between 42.2 and 49.5 ka, from the Ranis site had earlier provided mitochondrial DNA that proved them to be AMH. A complete female skull excavated from Czechia site, dated at 45 ka had previously yielded a high quality AMH genome. Interestingly that carried variants associated with dark skin and hair, which perhaps reflect African origins. Neanderthals probably had pale skins and may have passed on to the incomers genes associated with more efficient production of vitamin D in the lower light levels of high latitudes and maybe immunity to some diseases. Both sites contain a distinct range of artefacts known as the Lincombian-Ranisian-Jerzmanowician technocomplex. This culture was once regarded as having been made by Neanderthals, but is now linked by the mtDNA results to early AMH. Such artefacts occur across central and north-western Europe. The bones from both sites are clearly important in addressing the issue of Neanderthal-AMH cultural and familial relationships.

The new, distinct genetic data from the Ranis and Zlatý kůň individuals reveals a mother and her child at Ranis. The female found at Zlatý kůň had a fifth- to sixth-degree genetic relationship with Ranis individuals: she may have been their half first cousin once removed. This suggests a wider range of communications than most people in medieval Europe would have had. The data from both sites suggests that the small Ranis-Zlatý kůň population – estimated at around 200 individuals – diverged late from the main body of AMH who began to populate Asia and Australasia at least 65 ka ago. Their complement of Neanderthal genetic segments seems to have originated during their seven thousand-year presence in Europe. Though they survived through 350 generations it seems that their genetic line was not passed on within and outside of Europe. They died out, perhaps during a sudden cold episode during the climatic decline towards the Last Glacial Maximum. We know that because their particular share of the Neanderthal genome does not crop up in the wider data set used by Iasi et al., neither in Europe and West Asia nor in East Asia. That they survived for so long may well have been due to their genetic inheritance from Neanderthals that made them more resilient to what, for them, was initially an alien environment. It is not over-imaginative to suggest that both populations may have collaborated over this period. But neither survived beyond about 40 ka..

Widely publicised as they have been, the two papers leave much more unanswered than they reveal. Both the AMH-Neanderthal relationship and the general migration out of Africa are shown to be more complex than previously thought by palaeoanthropologists. For a start, the descendants today of migrants who headed east carry more Neanderthal DNA that do living Europeans, and it is different. Where did they interbreed? Possibly in western Asia, but that may never be resolved because warmer conditions tend to degrade genetic material beyond the levels that can be recovered from ancient bones. Also, some living people in the east carry both Neanderthal and Denisovan DNA segments. Research Centres like the Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology will clearly offer secure employment for some time yet!

How changes in the Earth System have affected human evolution, migration and culture

Published on December 5, 2024December 5, 2024 by zooks777Leave a comment

Refugees from the Middle East migrating through Slovenia in 2015. Credit: Britannica

During the Pliocene (5.3 to 2.7 Ma) there evolved a network of various hominins, with their remains scattered across both the northern and southern parts of that continent. The earliest, though somewhat disputed hominin fossil Sahelanthropus tchadensis hails from northern Chad and lived around 7 Ma ago, during the late Miocene, as did a similarly disputed creature from Kenya Orrorin tugenensis (~5.8 Ma). The two were geographically separated by 1500 km, what is now the Sahara desert and the East African Rift System. The suggestion from mtDNA evidence that humans and chimpanzees had a common ancestor, the uncertainty about when it lived (between 13 to 5 Ma) and what it may have looked like, let alone where it lived, makes the notion debateable. There is even a possibility that the common ancestor of humans and the other anthropoid apes may have been European. Its descendants could well have crossed to North Africa when the Mediterranean Sea had been evaporated away to form the thick salt deposits that now lie beneath it: what could be termed the ‘Into Africa’ hypothesis. The better known Pliocene hominins were also widely distributed in the east and south of the African continent. Wandering around was clearly a hominin predilection from their outset. The same can be said about humans in the general sense (genus Homo) during the Early Pleistocene when some of them left Africa for Eurasia. Artifacts dated at 2.1 Ma have been found on the Loess Plateau of western China, and Georgia hosts the earliest human remains known from Eurasia. Since them H. antecessor, heidelbergensis, Neanderthals and Denisovans roamed Eurasia. Then, after about 130 ka, anatomically modern humans progressively populated all continents, except Antarctica, to their geographic extremities and from sea level to 4 km above it.

There is a popular view that curiosity and exploration are endemic and perhaps unique to the human line: ‘It’s in our genes’. But even plants migrate, as do all animal species. So it is best to be wary of a kind of hominin exceptionalism or superior motive force. Before settled agriculture, simply diffusion of populations in search of sustenance could have achieved the enormous migrations undertaken by all hominins: biological resources move and hunter gatherers follow them. The first migration of Homo erectus from Africa to northern China by way of Georgia seems to taken 200 ka at most and covered about ten thousand kilometres: on average a speed of only 50 m per year! That achievement and many others before and later were interwoven with the evolution of brain size, cognitive ability, means of communication and culture. But what were the ultimate drivers? Two recent papers in the journal Nature Communications make empirically-based cases for natural forces driving the movement of people and changes in demography.

The first considers hominin dispersal in the Palaearctic biogeographic realm: the largest of eight originally proposed by Alfred Russel Wallace in the late 19^th century that encompasses the whole of Eurasia and North Africa (Zan, J. et al. 2024. Mid-Pleistocene aridity and landscape shifts promoted Palearctic hominin dispersals. Nature Communications, v. 15, article 10279; DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-54767-0). The Palearctic comprises a wide range of ecosystems: arid to wet, tropical to arctic. After 2 Ma ago, hominins moved to all its parts several times. The approach followed by Zan et al. is to assess the 3.6 Ma record of the thick deposits of dust carried by the perpetual westerly winds that cross Central Asia. This gave rise to the huge (635,000 km²) Loess Plateau. At least 17 separate soil layers in the loess have yielded artefacts during the last 2.1 Ma. The authors radiocarbon dated the successive layers of loess in Tajikistan (286 samples) and the Tarim Basin (244 samples) as precisely as possible, achieving time resolutions of 5 to 10 ka and 10 to 20 ka respectively. To judge variations in climate in these area they also measured the carbon isotopic proportions in organic materials preserved within the layers. Another climate-linked metric that Zan et al. is a time series showing the development of river terraces across Eurasia derived from the earlier work of many geomorphologists. The results from those studies are linked to variations through time in the numbers of archaeological sites across Eurasia that have yielded hominin fossils, stone tools and signs of tool manufacture, many of which have been dated accurately.

The authors use sophisticated statistics to find correlations between times of climatic change and the signs of hominin occupation. Episodes of desertification in Palaearctic Eurasia clearly hindered hominins’ spreading across the continent either from west to east of vice versa. But there were distinct, periodic windows of climatic opportunity for that to happen that coincide with interglacial episodes, whose frequency changed at the Mid Pleistocene Transition (MPT) from about 41 ka to roughly every 100 ka. That was suggested in 2021 to have arisen from an increased roughness of the rock surface over which the great ice sheets of the Northern Hemisphere moved. This suppressed the pace of ice movement so that the 41 ka changes in the tilt of the Earth’s rotational axis could no longer drive climate change during the later Pleistocene, despite the fact that the same astronomical influence continued. The succeeding ~100 ka pulsation may or may not have been paced by the very much weaker influence of Earth changing orbital eccentricity. Whichever, after the MPT climate changes became much more extreme, making human dispersal in the Palearctic realm more problematic. Rather than hominin’s evolution driving them to a ‘Manifest Destiny’ of dominating the world vastly larger and wider inorganic forces corralled and released them so that, eventually, they did.

Much the same conclusion, it seems to me, emerges from a second study that covers the period since ~ 9 ka ago when anatomically modern humans transitioned from a globally dominant hunter-gatherer culture to one of ‘managing’ and dominating ecosystems, physical resources and ultimately the planet itself. (Wirtz, K.W et al. 2024. Multicentennial cycles in continental demography synchronous with solar activity and climate stability. Nature Communications, v. 15, article 10248; DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-54474-w). Like Zan et al., Kai Wirtz and colleagues from Germany, Ukraine and Ireland base their findings on a vast accumulated number (~180,000) of radiocarbon dates from Holocene archaeological sites from all inhabited continents. The greatest number (>90,000) are from Europe. The authors applied statistical methods to judge human population variations since 11.7 ka in each continental area. Known sites are probably significantly outweighed by signs of human presence that remain hidden, and the diligence of surveys varies from country to country and continent to continent: Britain, the Netherlands and Southern Scandinavia are by far the best surveyed. Given those caveats, clearly this approach gives only a blurred estimate of population dynamics during the Holocene. Nonetheless the data are very interesting.

The changes in population growth rates show distinct cyclicity during the Holocene, which Wirtz et al. suggest are signs of booms and busts in population on all six continents. Matching these records against a large number of climatic time series reveals a correlation. Their chosen metric is variation in solar irradiance: the power per unit area received from the Sun. That has been directly monitored only over a couple of centuries. But ice cores and tree rings contain proxies for solar irradiance in the proportions of the radioactive isotopes ¹⁰Be and ¹⁴C contained in them respectively. Both are produced by the solar wind of high-energy charged particles (electrons, protons and helium nuclei or alpha particles) penetrating the upper atmosphere. The two isotopes have half-lives long enough for them to remain undecayed and thus detectable for tens of thousand years. Both ice cores and tree rings have decadal to annual time resolutions. Wirtz et al. find that their crude estimates of booms and busts in human populations during the Holocene seem closely to match variations in solar activity measured in this way. Climate stability favours successful subsistence and thus growth in populations. Variable climatic conditions seem to induce subsistence failures and increase mortality, probably through malnutrition.

A nice dialectic clearly emerges from these studies. ‘Boom and bust’ as regards populations in millennial and centennial to decadal terms stem from climate variations. Such cyclical change thus repeatedly hones natural selection among the survivors, both genetically and culturally, increasing their general fitness to their surroundings. Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels would have devoured these data avidly had they emerged in the 19^th century. I’m sure they would have suggested from the evidence that something could go badly wrong – negation of negation, if readers care to explore that dialectical law further . . . And indeed that is happening. Humans made ecologically very fit indeed in surviving natural pressures are now stoking up a major climatic hiccup, or rather the culture and institutions that humans have evolved are doing that.

Hominin footprints in Kenya confirm two species occupied the same ecosystem the same time

Published on November 29, 2024 by zooks777Leave a comment

For the last forty thousand years anatomically modern humans have been the only primates living on Planet Earth with a sophisticated culture; i.e. using tools, fire, language, art etcetera. Since Homo sapiens emerged some 300 ka ago, they joined at least two other groups of humans – Neanderthals and Denisovans – and not only shared Eurasia with them, but interbred as well. In fact no hominin group has been truly alone since Pliocene times, which began 5.3 Ma ago. Sometimes up to half a dozen species occupied the habitable areas of Africa. Yet we can never be sure whether or not they bumped into one another. Dates for fossils are generally imprecise; give or take a few thousand years. The evidence is merely that sedimentary strata of roughly the same age in various places have yielded fossils of several hominins, but that co-occupation has never been proved in a single stratum in the same place: until now.

Footprints from Koobi Fora: left – right foot of H. erectus; right – left foot of Paranthropus boisei. Credit: Kevin Hatala. Chatham University

The Koobi Fora area near modern Lake Turkana has been an important, go-to site, courtesy of the Leakey palaeoanthropology dynasty (Louis and Mary, their son and daughter-in-law Richard and Meave, and granddaughter Louise). They discovered five hominin species there dating from 4.2 to 1.4 Ma. So there was a chance that this rich area might prove that two of the species were close neighbours in both space and time. In 2021 Kenyan members of the Turkana Basin Institute based in Nairobi spotted a trackway of human footprints on a bedding surface of sediments that had been deposited about 1.5 Ma ago. Reminiscent of the famous, 2 million years older Laetoli trackway of Australopithecus afarensis in Tanzania, that at Koobi Fora is scientifically just as exciting for it shows footprints of two hominin species Homo erectus and Paranthropus boisei who had walked through wet mud a few centimetres below the surface of Lake Turkana’s ancient predecessor (Hatala, K.G. and 13 others, 2024. Footprint evidence for locomotive diversity and shared habitats among early Pleistocene hominins. Science, v. 386, p. 1004-1010; DOI: 10.1126/science.ado5275). The trackway is littered with the footprints of large birds and contains evidence of zebra.

One set of prints attributed to H. erectus suggest the heels struck the surface first, then the feet rolled forwards before pushing off with the soles: little different from our own, unshod footprints in mud. They are attributed to H. erectus. The others also show a bipedal gait, but different locomotion. The feet that made them were significantly flatter than ours and had a big toe angled away from the smaller toes. They are so different that no close human relative could have made them. The local fossil record includes paranthropoids (Paranthropus boisei), whose fossil foot bones suggest an individual of that speciesmade those prints. It also turns out that a similar, dual walkers’ pattern was found 40 km away in lake sediments of roughly the same age. The two species cohabited the same terrain for a substantial period of time. As regards the Koobi Fora trackway, it seems the two hominins plodded through the mud only a few hours apart at most: they were neighbours.

Artists’ reconstructions of: left – H. erectus; right – Paranthropus boisei. Credits: Yale University, Roman Yevseyev respectively

From their respective anatomies they were very different. Homo erectus was, apart from having massive brow ridges, similar to us. Paranthropus boisei had huge jaws and facial muscles attached to a bony skull crest. So how did they get along? The first was probably omnivorous and actively hunted or scavenged meaty prey: a bifacial axe-wielding hunter-gatherer. Paranthropoids seem to have sought and eaten only vegetable victuals, and some sites preserve bone digging sticks. They were not in competition for foodstuffs and there was no reason for mutual intolerance. Yet they were physically so different that intimate social relations were pretty unlikely. Also their brain sizes were very different, that of P. Boisei’s being far smaller than that of H. erectus , which may not have encouraged intellectual discourse. Both persist in the fossil record for a million years or more. Modern humans, Neanderthals and Denisovans, as we know, sometimes got along swimmingly, possibly because they were cognitively very similar and not so different physically.

Since many hominin fossils are associated with riverine and lake-side environments, it is surprising that more trackways than those of Laetoli and Koobi Fora have been found. Perhaps that is because palaeoanthropologists are generally bent on finding bones and tools! Yet trackways show in a very graphic way how animals behave and interrelate with their environment, for example dinosaurs. Now anthropologists have learned how to spot footprint trace fossils that will change, and enrich the human story.

See also: Ashworth, J. Fossil footprints of different ancient humans found together for the first time. Natural History Museum News 28 November 2024; Marshall, M. Ancient footprints show how early human species lived side by side. New Scientist, 28 November 2024

Divining the possible climatic impacts of slowing North Atlantic current patterns

Published on November 27, 2024 by zooks777Leave a comment

Meltwater channels and lake on the surface of the Greenland ice sheet

In August 2024 Earth-Logs reported on the fragile nature of thermohaline circulation of ocean water. The post focussed on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), whose fickle nature seems to have resulted in a succession of climatic blips during the last glacial-interglacial cycle since 100 ka ago. They took the form of warming-cooling cycles known as Dansgaard-Oeschger events, when the poleward movement of warm surface water in the North Atlantic Ocean was disrupted. An operating AMOC normally drags northwards warm water from lower latitudes, which is more saline as a result of evaporation from the ocean surface there. Though it gradually cools in its journey it remains warmer and less dense than the surrounding surface water through which it passes: it effectively ‘floats’. But as the north-bound, more saline stream steadily loses energy its density increases. Eventually the density equals and then exceeds that of high-latitude surface water, at around 60° to 70°N, and sinks. Under these conditions the AMOC is self-sustaining and serves to warm the surrounding land masses by influencing climate. This is especially the case for the branch of the AMOC known as the Gulf Stream that today swings eastwards to ameliorate the climate of NW Europe and Scandinavia as far as Norway’s North Cape and into the eastern Arctic Ocean.

The suspected driving forces for the Dansgaard-Oeschger events are sudden massive increases in the supply of freshwater into the Atlantic at high northern latitudes, which dilute surface waters and lower their density. So it becomes more difficult for surface water to become denser on being cooled so that it can sink to the ocean floor. The AMOC may weaken and shut down as a result and so too its warming effect at high latitudes. It also has a major effect on atmospheric circulation and moisture content: a truly complicated climatic phenomenon. Indeed, like the Pacific El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), major changes in AMOC may have global climatic implications. QIyun Ma of the Alfred Wegner Institute in Bremerhaven, Germany and colleagues from Germany, China and Romania have modelled how the various possible locations of fresh water input may affect AMOC (Ma, Q. et al. 2024. Revisiting climate impacts of an AMOC slowdown: dependence on freshwater locations in the North Atlantic. Science Advances, v. 10, article eadr3243; DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adr3243). They refer to such sudden inputs as ‘hosing’!

Location of the 4 regions in the northern North Atlantic used by Ma et al. in their modelling of AMOC: A Labrador Sea; B Irminger Basin; C NE Atlantic; D Nordic Seas. Colour chart refers to current temperature. Solid line – surface currents, dashed line – deep currents

First, the likely consequences under current climatic conditions of such ‘hosings’ and AMOC collapses are: a rapid expansion of the Arctic Ocean sea ice; delayed onset of summer ice-free conditions; southward shift of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) – a roughly equatorial band of low pressure where the NE and SE trade winds converge, and the rough location of the sometimes windless Doldrums. There have been several attempts to model the general climatic effects of an AMOC slowdown. Ma et al. take matters a step further by using the Alfred Wegener Institute Climate Model (AWI-CM3) to address what may happen following ‘hosing’ in four regions of the North Atlantic: the Labrador Sea (between Labrador and West Greenland); the Irminger Basin (SE of East Greenland, SW of Iceland); the Nordic Seas (north of Iceland; and the Greenland-Iceland-Norwegian seas) and the NE Atlantic (between Iceland, Britain and western Norway).

Prolonged freshwater flow into the Irminger Basin has the most pronounced effect on AMOC weakening, largely due to a U-bend in the AMOC where the surface current changes from northward to south-westward flow parallel to the East Greenland Current. The latter carries meltwater from the Greenland ice sheet whose low density keeps it near the surface. In turn, this strengthens NE and SW winds over the Labrador Sea and Nordic Seas respectively, which slow this part of the AMOC. In turn that complex system slows the entire AMOC further south. Since 2010 an average 270 billion tonnes of ice has melted in Greenland each year. This results in an annual 0.74 mm rise in global sea level, so the melted glacial ice is not being replenished. When sea ice forms it does not take up salt and is just as fresh as glacial ice. Annual melting of sea ice therefore temporarily adds fresh water to surface waters of the Arctic Ocean, but the extent of winter sea ice is rapidly shrinking. So, it too adds to freshening and lowering the density of the ocean-surface layer. The whole polar ocean ‘drains’ southwards by surface currents, mainly along the east coast of Greenland potentially to mix with branches of the AMOC. At present they sink with cooled more saline water to move at depth. To melting can be added calving of Greenlandic glaciers to form icebergs that surface currents transport southwards. A single glacier (Zachariae Isstrom) in NE Greenland lost 160 billion tonnes of ice between 1999 and 2022. Satellite monitoring of the Greenland glaciers suggests that a trillion tonnes have been lost through iceberg formation during the first quarter of the 21^st century. Accompanying the Dansgaard-Oeschger events of the last 100 ka were iceberg ‘armadas’ (Heinrich events) that deposited gravel in ocean-floor sediments as far south as Portugal.

The modelling done by Ma et al. also addresses possible wider implications of their ‘hosing’ experiments to the global climate. The authors caution that this aspect is an ‘exploration’ rather than prediction. Globally increased duration of ‘cold extremes’ and dry spells, and the intensity of precipitation may ensue from downturns and potential collapse of AMOC. Europe seems to be most at risk. Ma et al. plea for expanded observational and modelling studies focused on the Irminger Basin because it may play a critical role in understanding the mechanisms and future strength of the AMOC.

See also: Yirka, R. 2024. Greenland’s meltwater will slow Atlantic circulation, climate model suggests. Phys Org, 21 November 2024

A major breakthrough in carbon capture and storage?

Published on November 20, 2024 by zooks7772 Comments

Carbon capture and storage is in the news most weeks and is increasingly on the agenda for some governments. But plans to implement the CCS approach to reducing and stopping global warming increasingly draws scorn from scientists and environmental campaigners. There is a simple reason for their suspicion. State engagement, in the UK and other rich countries, involves major petroleum companies that developed the oil and gas fields responsible for unsustainably massive injection of CO₂ into the atmosphere. Because they have ‘trousered’ stupendous profits they are a tempting source for the financial costs of pumping CO₂ into porous sedimentary rocks that once contained hydrocarbon reserves. Not only that, they have conducted such sequestration over decades to drive out whatever petroleum fluids remaining in previously tapped sedimentary strata. For that second reason, many oil companies are eager and willing to comply with governmental plans, thereby seeming to be environmentally ‘friendly’. It also tallies with their ambitions to continue making profits from fossil-fuel extraction. But isn’t that simply a means of replacing the sequestered greenhouse gas with more of it generated by burning the recovered oil and natural gas; i.e. ‘kicking the can down the road’? Being a gas – technically a ‘free phase’ – buried CO₂ also risks leaking back to the atmosphere through fractures in the reservoir rock. Indeed, some potential sites for its sequestration have been deliberately made more gas-permeable by ‘fracking’ as a means of increasing the yield of petroleum-rich rock. Finally, a litre of injected gas can drive out pretty much the same volume of oil. So this approach to CCS may yield a greater potential for greenhouse warming than would the sequestered carbon dioxide itself.

Image of calcite (white) and chlorite (cyan) formed in porous basalt due to CO₂-charged water-rock interaction at the CarbFix site in Iceland. (Credit: Sandra Ósk Snæbjörnsdóttir)

Another, less widely publicised approach is to geochemically bind CO₂ into solid carbonates, such as calcite (CaCO₃), dolomite (CaMgCO₃), or magnesite (MgCO₃). Once formed such crystalline solids are unlikely to break down to their component parts at the surface, under water or buried. One way of doing this is by the chemical weathering of rocks that contain calcium- and magnesium-rich minerals, such as feldspar (CaAl₂Si₂O₈), olivine ([Fe,Mg]₂SiO₄) and pyroxene ([Fe,Mg]CaSi₂O₆) . Mafic and ultramafic rocks, such as basalt and peridotite are commonly composed of such minerals. One approach involves pumping the gas into a Icelandic borehole that passes through basalt and letting natural reactions do the trick. They give off heat and proceed quickly, very like those involved in the setting of concrete. In two experimental field trials 95% of injected CO₂ was absorbed within 18 months. Believe it or not, ants can do the trick with crushed basalt and so too can plant roots. There have been recent experiments aimed at finding accelerants for such subsurface weathering (Wang, J. et al. 2024. CO₂ capture, geological storage, and mineralization using biobased biodegradable chelating agents and seawater. Science Advances, v. 10, article eadq0515; DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adq0515). In some respects the approach is akin to fracking. The aim is to connect isolated natural pores to allow fluids to permeate rock more easily, and to release metal ions to combine with injected CO₂.

Chelating agents are biomolecules that are able to dissolve metal ions; some are used to remove toxic metals, such as lead, mercury and cadmium, from the bodies of people suffering from their effects. Naturally occurring ones extract metal ions from minerals and rocks and are agents of chemical weathering; probably used by the aforesaid ants and root systems. Wang and colleagues, based at Tohoku University in Japan, chose a chelating agent GLDA (tetrasodium glutamate diacetate – C₉H₉NNa₄O₈) derived from plants, which is non-toxic, cheap and biodegradable. They injected CO₂ and seawater containing dissolved GDLA into basaltic rock samples. The GDLA increases the rock’s porosity and permeability by breaking down its minerals so that Ca and Mg ions entered solution and were thereby able to combine with the gas to form carbonate minerals. Within five days porosity was increased by 16% and the rocks permeability increased by 26 times. Using electron microscopy the authors were able to show fine particles of carbonate growing in the connected pores. In fact these carbonate aggregates become coated with silica released by the induced mineral-weathering reactions. Calculations based on the previously mentioned field experiment in Iceland suggest that up to 20 billion tonnes of CO₂ could be stored in 1.3 km³ of basalt treated in this way: about 1/25000 of the active rift system in Iceland (3.3 x 10⁴ km² covered by 1 km of basalt lava). In 2023 fossil fuel use emitted an estimated 36.6 bllion tons of CO₂ into the atmosphere.

So, why do such means of efficiently reducing the greenhouse effect not receive wide publicity by governments or the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change? Answers on a yellow PostIt™ please . . .

The prospect of climate chaos following major volcano eruptions

Published on November 18, 2024November 20, 2024 by zooks777Leave a comment

It hardly needs saying that volcanoes present a major hazard to people living in close proximity. The inhabitants of the Roman cities of Herculaneum and Pompeii in the shadow of Vesuvius were snuffed out by an incandescent pyroclastic during the 79 CE eruption of the volcano. Since December 2023 long-lasting eruptions from the Sundhnúksgígar crater row on the Reykjanes Penisula of Iceland have driven the inhabitants of nearby Grindavík from their homes, but no injuries or fatalities have been reported. Far worse was the 1815 eruption of Tambora on Sumbawa, Indonesia, when at least 71,000 people perished. But that event had much wider consequences, which lasted into 1817 at least. As well as an ash cloud the huge plume from Tambora injected 28 million tons of sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere. In the form of sulfuric acid aerosols, this reflected so much solar energy back into space that the Northern Hemisphere cooled by 1° C, making 1816 ‘the year without a summer’. Crop failures in Europe and North America doubled grain prices, leading to widespread social unrest and economic depression. That year also saw unusual weather in India culminate in a cholera outbreak, which spread to unleash the 1817 global pandemic. Tambora is implicated in a global death toll in the tens of millions. Thanks to the record of sulfur in Greenland ice cores it has proved possible to link past volcanic action to historic famines and epidemics, such as the Plague of Justinian in 541 CE. If they emit large amounts of sulfur gases volcanic eruptions can result in sudden global climatic downturns.

The ash plume towering above Pinatubo volcano in the Philippines on 12 June 1991, which rose to 40 km (Credit: Karin Jackson U.S. Air Force)

With this in mind Markus Stoffel, Christophe Corona and Scott St. George of the University of Geneva, Switzerland, CNRS, Grenoble France and global insurance brokers WTW, London, respectively, have published a Comment in Nature warning of this kind of global hazard (Stoffel, M., Corona, C. & St. George, S. 2024. The next massive volcano eruption will cause climate chaos — we are unprepared. Nature v. 635, p. 286-289; DOI: 10.1038/d41586-024-03680-z). The crux of their argument is that there has been nothing approaching the scale of Tambora for the last two centuries. The 1991 eruption of Pinatubo fed the stratosphere with just over a quarter of Tambora’s complement of SO₂, and decreased global temperatures by around 0.6°C during 1991-2. Should one so-called Decade Volcanoes – those located in densely populated areas, such as Vesuvius – erupt within the next five years actuaries at Lloyd’s of London estimate economic impacts of US$ 3 trillion in the first year and US$1.5 trillion over the following years. But that is based on just the local risk of ash falls, lava and pyroclastic flows, mud slides and lateral collapse, not global climatic effects. So, a Tambora-sized or larger event is not countenanced by the world’s most famous insurance underwriter: probably because its economic impact is incalculable. Yet the chances of such a repeat certainly are conceivable. A 60 ka record of sulfate in the Greenland ice cores allows the probability of eruptions on the scale of Tambora to be estimated. The data suggest that there is a one-in-six chance that one will occur somewhere during the 21^st century, but not necessarily at a site judged by volcanologists to be precarious . Nobody expected the eruption from the Pacific Ocean floor of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai volcano on January 15, 2022: the largest in the last 30 years.

The authors insist that climate-changing eruptions now need to be viewed in the context of anthropogenic global warming. Superficially, it might seem that a few volcanic winters and years without a summer could be a welcome, albeit short-term, solution. However, Stoffel, Corona and St. George suggest that the interaction of a volcano-induced global cooling with climatic processes would probably be very complex. Global warming heats the lower atmosphere and cools the stratosphere. Such steady changes will affect the height to which explosive volcanic plumes may reach. Atmospheric circulation patterns are changing dramatically as the weather of 2024 seems to show. The same may be said for ocean currents that are changing as sea-surface temperatures increase. Superimposing volcano-induced cooling of the sea surface adds an element of chaos to what is already worrying. What if a volcanic winter coincided with an el Niño event? The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change that projects climate changes is ‘flying blind’ as regards volcanic cooling. Another issue is that our knowledge of the effects in 1815 of Tambora concerned a very different world from ours: a global population then that was eight times smaller than now; very different patterns of agriculture and habitation; a world with industrial production on a tiny proportion of the continental surface. Stoffel, Corona and St. George urge the IPCC to shed light on this major blind spot. Climate modellers need to explore the truly worst-case scenarios since a massive volcanic eruption is bound to happen one day. Unlike global warming from greenhouse-gas emission, there is absolutely nothing that can be done to avert another Tambora.

How India accelerated towards Eurasia at the end of the Cretaceous

Published on November 12, 2024 by zooks777Leave a comment

About 70 Ma ago the magnetic striping of the Indian Ocean floor suggests that the Indian subcontinent was then moving towards the huge, almost stationary Eurasian continent at about 8 cm per year. Over the next 5 Ma this convergence rate underwent a tectonically startling acceleration to reach 18 cm yr^-1 by around the time of the Cretaceous-Palaeogene boundary (65 Ma): more than doubling the approach rate. Thereafter it slowed, eventually to a few centimetres per year once collision and building of the Himalayan mountain belt were more or less complete about 30 Ma ago. This cannot easily be explained by a speeding up of the sea-floor spreading rate at an Indian Ocean ridge to the south, 18 cm yr^-1 being as fast as tectonic forces can manage at present. At that time ocean floor to the north of India was being subducted beneath Eurasia, and basaltic volcanism was flooding what is now the Deccan Plateau on western India. A couple of suggestions have been made: two northward subduction zones may have developed or the mantle plume feeding the Deccan flood basalts may have driven the tectonic acceleration. A third possibility is that the subduction was somehow lubricated. That approach has recently been considered by geoscientists from China and Singapore (Zhou, H. et al. 2024. India–Eurasia convergence speed-up by passive-margin sediment subduction. Nature, v. 635, p. 114-120; DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-08069-6).

Hao Zhou and colleagues studied the isotopic and trace-element geochemistry of volcanic and plutonic igneous complexes to the north of the Himalaya. They were emplaced in arc environments in three stages: from 98 to 89; 65 to 60; and 57 to 50 Ma. In this tectonic setting fluids rise from the subducted slab to induce the mantle part of the overriding lithosphere to partially melt. That yields magmas which penetrate the crust above. The first and last magmatic events produced similar isotopic and trace-element ‘signatures’, which suggest fluids rose from subducted ocean lithosphere. But those in the latest Cretaceous to earliest Palaeocene are markedly different. Instead of showing signs of their magmas being entirely mantle derived like the earlier and later groups, the 65 to 60 Ma rocks exhibit clear evidence of partial melting having incorporated materials that had originated in older continental crust. The authors suggest that this crustal contamination stemmed from sediments that had been deposited at the northern margin of the Indian subcontinent during the Mesozoic. These sediments had formed by weathering of the ancient rocks that underpin India, transport of the debris by rivers and deposition on the seafloor as water-saturated sands, silts and clays. Once those sediments were subducted beneath what is now Tibet they would yield fluids with a geochemical ‘fingerprint’ inherited from old continental crust. Moreover, far more fluids than subducted oceanic crust could ever release would rise into the overriding lithosphere than.

The fluids rising from a subducted wedge of sediments may have reduced friction between the overriding Eurasian lithosphere and the subducted slab derived from the Indian tectonic plate. That scenario would not only have lubricated subduction, but allowed compressive forces in the overriding lithosphere to relax. Both would have allowed convergence of the two plates to move significantly faster as the sediments were progressively consumed. Once completed, convergence would have slowed without such ‘lubrication’.Earlier continent-continent collision zones, such as those that united Pangaea and older supercontinents may well have involved such tectonic surges. And the same kind of process may eventually speed up the reassembly of the latest distribution of continents.

Watch an animation of the India-Eurasia convergence (just over 3 minutes long)compiled by Christopher Scotese of Northwestern University in Evanston, Illinois, USA, which is a component of his Paleomap Project. It starts by following India from its current position to its origin in the break-up of Gondwanaland ~100 Ma ago. The last half reverses the motions to show India’s slow collision with Eurasia.

Multiple Archaean gigantic impacts, perhaps beneficial to some early life

Published on October 29, 2024 by zooks777Leave a comment

In March 1989 an asteroid half a kilometre across passed within 500 km of the Earth at a speed of 20 km s^-1. Making some assumptions about its density, the kinetic energy of this near miss would have been around 4 x 10¹⁹ J: a million times more than Earth’s annual heat production and humanity’s annual energy use; and about half the power of detonating every thermonuclear device ever assembled. Had that small asteroid struck the Earth all this energy would have been delivered in a variety of forms to the Earth System in little more than a second – the time it would take to pass through the atmosphere. The founder of “astrogeology” and NASA’s principal geological advisor for the Apollo programme, the late Eugene Shoemaker, likened the scenario to a ‘small hill falling out of the sky’. (Read a summary of what would happen during such an asteroid strike). But that would have been dwarfed by the 10 to 15 km impactor that resulted in the ~200 km wide Chicxulub crater and the K-Pg mass extinction 66 Ma ago. Evidence has been assembled for Earth having been struck during the Archaean around 3.6 billion years (Ga) ago by an asteroid 200 to 500 times larger: more like four Mount Everests ‘falling out of the sky’ (Drabon, N. et al. 2024. Effect of a giant meteorite impact on Paleoarchean surface environments and life. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, v. 121, article e2408721121; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2408721121

Impact debris layer in the Palaeoarchaean Barberton greenstone belt of South Africa, which contains altered glass spherules and fragments of older carbonaceous cherts. (Credit: Credit: Drabon, N. et al., Appendix Fig S2B)

In fact the Palaeoarchaean Era (3600 to 3200 Ma) was a time of multiple large impacts. Yet their recognition stems not from tangible craters but strata that contain once glassy spherules, condensed from vaporised rock, interbedded with sediments of Palaeoarchaean ‘greenstone belts’ in Australia and South Africa (see: Evidence builds for major impacts in Early Archaean; August 2002, and Impacts in the early Archaean; April 2014), some of which contain unearthly proportions of different chromium isotopes (see: Chromium isotopes and Archaean impacts; March 2003). Compared with the global few millimetres of spherules at the K-Pg boundary, the Barberton greenstone belt contains eight such beds up to 1.3 m thick in its 3.6 to 3.3 Ga stratigraphy. The thickest of these beds (S2) formed by an impact at around 3.26 Ga by an asteroid estimated to have had a mass 50 to 200 times that of the K-Pg impactor.

Above the S2 bed are carbonaceous cherts that contain carbon-isotope evidence of a boom in single-celled organisms with a metabolism that depended on iron and phosphorus rather than sunlight. The authors suggest that the tsunami triggered by impact would have stirred up soluble iron-2 from the deep ocean and washed in phosphorus from the exposed land surface, perhaps some having been delivered by the asteroid itself. No doubt such a huge impact would have veiled the Palaeoarchaean Earth with dust that reduced sunlight for years: inimical for photosynthesising bacteria but unlikely to pose a threat to chemo-autotrophs. An unusual feature of the S2 spherule bed is that it is capped by a layer of altered crystals whose shapes suggest they were originally sodium bicarbonate and calcium carbonate. They may represent flash-evaporation of up to tens of metres of ocean water as a result of the impact. Carbonates are less soluble than salt and more likely to crystallise during rapid evaporation of the ocean surface than would NaCl.

Time line of possible events following a huge asteroid impact during the Palaeoarchaean. (Credit: Drabon, N. et al. Fig 8)

So it appears that early extraterrestrial bombardment in the early Archaean had the opposite effect to the Chicxulub impactor that devastated the highly evolved life of the late Mesozoic. Many repeats of such chaos during the Palaeoarchaean could well have given a major boost to some forms of early, chemo-autotrophic life, while destroying or setting back evolutionary attempts at photo-autotrophy.

See also: King, A. 2024. Meteorite 200 times larger than one that killed dinosaurs reset early life. Chemistry World 23 October 2024.

Evidence for Earth’s magnetic field 3.7 billion years ago

Published on October 26, 2024 by zooks777Leave a comment

If ever there was one geological locality that ‘kept giving’ it would have to be the Isua supracrustal belt in West Greenland. Since 1971 it has been known to be the repository of the oldest known metasedimentary rocks, dated at around 3.7 Ga. Repeatedly, geochemists have sought evidence for life of that antiquity, but the Isua metasediments have yielded only ambiguous chemical signs. A more convincing hint emerged from iron-rich silica layers (jasper) in similarly aged metabasalts on Nuvvuagittuk Island in Quebec on the east side of Hudson Bay, Canada, which may be products of Eoarchaean sea-floor hydrothermal vents. X-ray micro-tomography and electron microscopy of the jaspers revealed twisted filaments, tubes, knob-like and branching structures up to a centimetre long that contain minute grains of carbon, phosphates and metal sufides, but the structures are made from hematite (Fe₂O₃) so an inorganic formation is just as likely as the earliest biology. Isua’s most intriguing contribution to the search for the earliest life has been what look like stromatolites in a marble layer (see: Signs of life in some of the oldest rocks; September 2016). Such structures formed in later times on shallow sea floors through the secretion of biofilms by photosynthesising blue-green bacteria.

Structure of the Earth’s magnetosphere that deflects charged particles which form the solar wind. (Credit: Wikipedia Commons)

For life to form and survive depends on its complex molecules being protected from high-energy charged particles in the solar wind. In turn that depends on a strong geomagnetic field deflecting the solar wind as it does today, except for a small proportion that descend towards the poles and form aurora during solar mass ejections. In visits to Isua in 2018 and 2019, geophysicists from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA and Oxford University, UK drilled over 300 rock cores from metasedimentary ironstones (Nichols, C.I.O. and 9 others 2024. Possible Eoarchean records of the geomagnetic field preserved in the Isua Supracrustal Belt, southern West Greenland. Journal of Geophysics Research (Solid Earth), v. 129, article e2023JB027706; DOI: 10.1029/2023JB027706 Magnetisation preserved in the samples (remanent magnetism) suggest that it was formed by a geomagnetic field strength of at least 15 microtesla, similar to that which prevails today. The minerals magnetite (Fe₃O₄) and apatite (a complex phosphate) in the ironstones have been dated using U-Pb geochronometry and record a metamorphic event only slightly younger that the age of the Isua belt (3.69 and 3.63 Ga respectively). There is no sign of any younger heating above the temperatures that would reset the ironstones’ magnetisation. The Isua remanent magnetisation is at least 200 Ma older than that found in igneous rocks from north-eastern South Africa dated at between 3.2 to 3.45 Ga. So even in the Eoarchaean it seems likely that life, had it formed, would have avoided the hazard of exposure to the high energy solar wind. In all likelihood, however, in a shallow marine environment it would have had to protect itself somehow from intense ultraviolet radiation. That is now vastly reduced by stratospheric ozone (O₃) which could only form once the atmosphere had appreciable oxygen (O₂) content, i.e. after the Great Oxygenation Event beginning about 2.4 Ga ago. Undoubted stromatolites as old as 3.5 Ga suggest that early photosynthesising bacteria clearly had cracked the problem of UV protection somehow.

A companion crater for Chicxulub on the continental shelf of West Africa

Published on October 9, 2024 by zooks777Leave a comment

Fig Interpreted 2D seismic section across the Nadir crater and central uplift beneath the Guinea Terrace. (Credit: Nicholson, et al. 2022. Fig 2c)

In 2022 four geoscientists from Heriot-Watt University in Edinburgh, Scotland and the Universities of Arizona and Texas (Austin), USA were geologically interpreting seismic-reflection data beneath the seafloor off Guinea and Guinea-Bissau, West Africa. Individual sedimentary strata that cover the upper continental crust show up as many reflectors. They are calibrated to rock cores from exploratory well that had revealed up to 8 km of sedimentary cover deposited continuously since the Upper Jurassic. The team’s objective was to collect information on tectonic structures that had formed when South America separated from Africa during the Cretaceous. The geophysical data were from commercial reconnaissance surveys aimed at locating petroleum fields beneath part of the West African continental shelf known as the Guinea Terrace. One of the seismic sections revealed a ~9 km wide basin-like depression at the level of the Cretaceous-Palaeogene boundary, which is underlain by a prominent upward bulge in reflectors corresponding to the mid-Cretaceous, plus a large number of nearby faults (Nicholson, U., and 3 others 2022. The Nadir Crater offshore West Africa: a candidate Cretaceous-Paleogene impact structure. Science Advances, v. 8, article eabn3096; DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abn3096). Elsewhere on the Guinea Terrace the strata were featureless by comparison.

The Nadir crater showed many of the signs to be expected from an asteroid impact. That it drew attention stemmed partly from being of roughly the same age as the much larger 66 Ma Chicxulub impact off the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico: the likely culprit for the K-Pg mass-extinction event. Perhaps both impactors stemmed from the break-up of a large, near-Earth asteroid because of gravitational forces resulting from a previous close encounter with either the Earth or another planet. The crater lies at the centre of a 23 km wide zone of faults that only affect Cretaceous and older strata; i.e. they formed just before the K-Pg event. The seismic data also show signs of widespread liquefaction of nearby Cretaceous sedimentary strata and that the crater had been filled by sediments shortly after it formed. Yet the data were too fuzzy for an astronomical catastrophe to be absolutely certain: similar structures can form from the rise of bodies of rock salt, which is less dense than sediments and will dissolve on reaching the seabed. The owners of the seismic data donated a much larger collection from a grid of survey lines. Processing of such seismic grids turns the collection of individual two-dimensional sections into a 3D regional data set showing the complete shape of subsurface structures. Seismic data of this kind enables more detailed structural and lithological interpretation of both cross section and plan views. They enable sedimentary layers to be ‘peeled’ back to examine the crater at all depths, in much the same manner as CT and MRI scans reveal the inner anatomy of the human body.

Map of faults around the Nadir crater at a level in the 3D seismic data that was about 200 m below the sea bed at the time of the impact. (Credit: Nicholson, et al. 2024, Fig 6)

Uisdean Nicholson and a larger team have now published their findings from the 3D seismic data that show the structure in unique detail (Nicholson, U., and 6 others 2024. 3D anatomy of the Cretaceous–Paleogene age Nadir Crater. Communications Earth & Environment v. 5, article number 547; DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01700-4). Nadir crater was affected by spiral-shaped thrust faults that suggest it was formed by an oblique impact from the northeast by an object around 450 m across, probably travelling at 20 km s^-1 at 20 to 40° to the surface. Seconds after excavation uplift of deeper sediments was a response to removal of the load on the crust. The energy was sufficient to vaporise both sediment and impactor within a few seconds, the to drive drive seawater outwards in a tsunami about half a kilometre high, which in about 30 seconds exposed the incandescent crater floor. In the succeeding minutes hours and days liquefied sea water sloshed in and out of the crater, repeated tsunami resurgence forming gullies on its flanks and transporting sediment mixed with glass (suevite) flowed to refill the crater.

Time line for the Nadir impact, derived from detail shown by 3D seismic data. (Credit: Nicholson, et al. 2024, Fig 7)

There is no means of assigning any of the K-Pg extinctions to the Nadir crater, just that it happened at roughly the same time as Chicxulub. But it is the first impact crater to reveal the processes involved through complete coverage by high-resolution 3D seismic data. The majority of the roughly 200 craters are on the continental surface, and were thus ravaged to some extent by later erosion. Yet of the influx of hypervelocity objects through time at least 70% must have struck the oceans, but only 15 to 20 are known. That may reflect the fact that much deeper water could have buffered even giant impacts from affecting the oceanic crust beneath the abyssal plains, whose average depth is about 4 km. Only a small proportion of the continental shelves deemed to contain petroleum reserves have been explored seismically. Chicxulub itself has been drilled, but only two seismic reflection sections have crossed its centre since its discovery, although earlier 3D data from petroleum exploration cover its outermost northern parts. More detail is available for Nadir and its lower energy did not smash its structural results, unlike Chicxulub. So, despite Nadir’s smaller size, fortuitously it gives more clues to how such marine craters formed. It looks to be an irresistible target for drilling.

Drip tectonics beneath Türkiye

Published on October 2, 2024October 1, 2024 by zooks777Leave a comment

Tectonics and geomorphology of Turkey showing the main fault systems. The Konya basin is enclosed by the grey rectangle at centre. (Credit: Taymaz et al. Geological Society of London, Special Publication 291, p1-16, Fig 1)

The 1.5-2.0 km high Central Anatolian plateau in Türkiye has been rising since ~11 Ma ago: an uplift of about 1 km in the last 8 Ma. However, part of the southern Plateau shows signs of rapidly subsidence that has created the Konya Basin, marked by young lake sediments. Interferometric radar (InSAR) data from the European Space Agency’s Sentinel-1 satellite, which detects active movement of the Earth’s surface, reveal a crude, doughnut-shaped area of the surface that is subsiding at up to 50 mm per year. This ring of subsidence surrounds a core of active uplift that is about 50 km across (see the first figure). Expressed crudely, active subsidence suggests an excess of mass beneath the affected area, whereas uplift implies a mass deficit; in both cases within the lithosphere. So, when the InSAR data were published in 2020, it became clear that the lithosphere beneath Anatolia is doing something very strange.

Vertical velocities affecting the surface in the Konya Basin derived from InSAR data, velocities colour-coded cyan to blue show subsidence, yellow to red suggesting that the surface is rising. (Credit: Andersen et al., Fig 1c)

Canadian and Turkish geophysicists set out to find a tectonic reason for such aberrant behaviour (Andersen, A.J. et al. 2024. Multistage lithospheric drips control active basin formation within an uplifting orogenic plateau. Nature Communications, v. 15, Article 7899; DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-52126-7). They wondered if a process known as ‘drip tectonics’, first mooted as an explanation of anomalous features in some mountain belts in 2004 (see: Mantle dripping off mountain roots, October 2004; and A drop off the old block? May 2008) might be applicable to the Anatolian Plateau. The essence of this process is similar to the slab-pull force at the heart of subduction. Burial and cooling of basaltic material in oceanic lithosphere being driven beneath another tectonic plate converts its igneous mineralogy to the metamorphic rock eclogite, whose density exceeds that of mantle rocks. Gravity then acts to pull the changed material downwards. However, Anatolia shows little sign of subduction. But the mantle beneath shows seismic speed anomalies that hint at anomalously dense material.

Seismic tomography shows that in a large volume 100 to 200 km beneath the central part of the Plateau S-waves travel faster than in the surrounding mantle. The higher speed suggests a body that is denser and more rigid than its surroundings. This could be a sinking, detached block of ‘eclogitised’ lithosphere whose disconnection from the remaining continental lithosphere has been causing the uplift of the Plateau that began in the Late Miocene. A smaller high-speed anomaly lies directly under the Konya Basin, but at a shallower depth (50 to 80 km) just beneath the lithosphere-asthenosphere boundary. The authors suggest that this is another piece of the lower lithosphere that is beginning to sink and become a ‘drip’. Still mechanically attached to the lithosphere the sinking dense block is dragging the surface down.

Andersen et al. instead of relying on computer modelling created a laboratory analogue. This consisted of a tank full of a fluid polymer whose viscosity is a thousand times that of maple syrup that represents the Earth’s deep mantle beneath. They mimicked an overlying plate by a layer of the same material with additional clay to render it more viscous – the model’s lithospheric mantle – with a ‘crust’ made of a sand of ceramic and silica spherules. A dense seed inserted into the model lithospheric mantle began to sink, dragging that material downwards in a ‘drip’. After that ‘drip’ had reached the bottom of the tank hours later, it became clear that another, smaller drip materialised along the track of the first and also began to sink. Monitoring of the surface of the ‘crust’ revealed that the initial drip did result in a basin. But the further down the drip fell the basin gradually became shallower: there was surface uplift. Once the initial drip had ‘bottomed-out’ the basin began to deepen again as the secondary drip formed and slowly moved downwards. The model seems to match the authors’ interpretation of the geophysics beneath the Anatolian Plateau. One drip created the potential for a lesser one, a bit like in inversion of the well-known slo-mo videos of a drop of milk falling into a glass of milk, when following the drop’s entry a smaller drop rebounds from the milky surface.

Cartoons of drip tectonics beneath the Anatolian Plateau. (a) Lower lithosphere detached from beneath Anatolia in the Late Miocene (10 to 8 Ma) descends into the mantle as it is ‘eclogitised’; (b) a smaller block beneath the Konya Basin beginning to ‘drip’, but still attached to the lithosphere. (Credit: Andersen et al., Fig 4)

In Anatolia the last 10 Ma has not been just ups and downs of the surface corresponding to drip tectonics. That was accompanied by volcanism, which can be explained by upwelling of mantle material displaced by lithospheric drips. When mantle rises and the pressure drops partial melting can occur, provided the mantle material rises faster than it can lose heat: adiabatic melting.

A new timeline for modern humans’ colonisation of Europe

Published on September 26, 2024September 25, 2024 by zooks777Leave a comment

Aurignacian sculptures: ‘Lion-Man’ and ‘Venus’ from the Hohlenstein-Stadel and Hohle Fels caves in Germany.

The earliest culture (or techno-complex) that can be related to anatomically modern humans (AMH) in Europe is called the Aurignacian. It includes works of art as well as tools made from stone, bone and antler. Perhaps the most famous are the ivory sculptures of ‘Lion-Man’ and Venus of the Hohlenstein-Stadel and Hohle Fels caves in Germany, and also the stunning cave art, of Chauvet Cave in France. Aurignacian artefacts that are dated at 43 to 26 ka occur at sites throughout Europe south of about 52°N. It was this group of people who interacted with the original Neanderthal population of Europe and finally replaced them completely. There is a long standing discussion over who ‘invented’ the stone tools, both human groups apparently having used similar styles of manufacture (Châtelperronian). Likewise, as regards the subsistence methods deployed by each; in one approach Neanderthals may have largely restricted their activities to roughly fixed ranges, whereas the incomers were generally seasonal nomads. As yet it has not been possible to show if the interbreeding between the two, which ancient and modern genetic data show, preceded the Aurignacian influx or continued when the met in Europe. Whatever, Neanderthals as a distinct human group had disappeared from the geological record by 40 ka. (Note that the three thousand years of coexistence is as long as the time between now and the end of the Bronze Age, about 150 generations at least.) But that aspect of European human development is not the only bone of contention about the spread into Europe. How did the Aurignacian people fare during and after their entry into Europe?

Despite continuing discovery of AMH sites in Europe, and reappraisal of long-known ones, there are limits to how much locations, dates, bones and artifacts can tell us. The actual Aurignacian dispersal of people across Europe is confounded by the limited number of proven occupation sites. These were people who, like most hunter gatherers, must have moved continually in response to variations in the supply of resources that depend on changing climatic conditions. They probably travelled ‘light’, occupied many temporary camp sites but few places to which they returned generation after generation. Temporary ‘stopping places’ are difficult to find, showing little more than evidence of fire and a ‘litter’ of shards from retouched stone tools (debitage), together with discarded bones that show marks left by butchery. A group of archaeologists and climate specialists from the University of Cologne, Germany have tried to shed some light on the completely ‘invisible’ aspects of Aurignacian dispersal and subsistence using what they have called – perhaps a tribute to Frank Sinatra! – the ‘Our Way Model’ (Shao, Y. et al. 2024. Reconstruction of human dispersal during Aurignacian on pan-European scale. Nature Communications, v. 15, Article 7406; DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-51349-y. Click link to download a PDF).

The reality of hunter-gatherer life during a period of repeated rapid change in climate would clearly have been complex and sometimes precarious. To grasp it also needs to take account of human population dynamics as well as climatic and ecological drivers. The team’s basic strategy was to combine climate and archaeological data to model the degree to which human numbers may have fluctuated and the extent and direction of their migration. Three broad factors would have driven both: environmental change; culture – social change, curiosity, technology; and human biology. Really, environmental change is the only one that can be addressed with any degree of precision through records of climate change, such as Greenland ice cores. Archaeological data from known sites should provide some evidence for technological change, but only for two definite phases in Aurignacian culture (43-38 ka and 38-32 ka). Dating of Aurignacian sites establishes some time calibration for episodes of occupation, abandonment and resettlement. Issues of human biology can be addressed to some extent from ancient genetics, where suitable bones are available. However, the ‘Our Way Model’ is driven by climate modelling and archaeology. It outputs an historical estimate of ‘human existence potential’ (HEP) that includes predictions of carbon storage in plants and animals – i.e. potential food resources – expressed as regional population density in Europe. The technical details are complex, but Shao et al.’s conclusions are quite striking.

Maps of estimated anatomically modern human population density during the first six thousand years of Aurignacian migration and palaeoclimate record from the Greenland NGRIP ice core, with shaded warm episodes – red spots indicate the time of the population estimates above. (Credit: Shao et al. Fig. 1)

Climate change in the later stages of cooling towards the last glacial maximum at ~20 ka was cyclical, with ten Dansgaard-Oeschger cold stadial events capable of ‘knocking back’ both population density and the extent of settlement. In the first two millennia expansion from the Levant into the Balkans was slow. From 43 to 41 ka the pace quickened, taking the Aurignacian culture into Western Europe, with an estimate total European AMH population of perhaps 60 thousand. A third phase (41 to 39 ka) shrank the areas and densities of population during a prolonged cold period. The authors suggest that survival was in Alpine refuge areas that AMH people had occupied previously. Starting at around 38 ka, a lengthy climatic warm period allowed the culture to spread to its maximum extent reaching southern Britain and the north and east of the Iberian Peninsula. Perhaps by then the AMH population had evolved better strategies to adapt to increasing frigid conditions. But by that time the Neanderthals had disappeared from Europe freeing up territory and food resources. That too may have contributed to the expansion and the sustenance of an AMH total population of between 80 and 100 thousand during the second phase of the Aurignacian.

It’s as well to remember that this work is based on a model, albeit sophisticated, based on currently known data. Palaeoanthropology is extremely prone to surprises as field- and lab work progresses …

See also: New population model identifies phases of human dispersal across Europe. EurekaAlert, 4 September 2024; Kambani, K. 2024. The Dynamics of Early Human Dispersal Across Europe: A New Population Model. Anthropology.net, 4 September 2024.

Climate changes and the mass extinction at Permian-Triassic boundary

Published on September 18, 2024 by zooks777Leave a comment

The greatest mass extinction in Earth’s history at around 252 Ma ago snuffed out 81% of marine animal species, 70% of vertebrates and many invertebrates that lived on land. It is not known how many land plants were removed, but the complete absence of coals from the first 10 Ma of the Early Triassic suggests that luxuriant forests that characterised low-lying humid area in the Permian disappeared. A clear sign of the sudden dearth of plant life is that Early Triassic river sediments were no longer deposited by meandering rivers but by braided channels. Meanders of large river channels typify land surfaces with abundant vegetation whose root systems bind alluvium. Where vegetation cover is sparse, there is little to constrain river flow and alluvial erosion, and wide braided river courses develop (see: End-Permian devastation of land plants; September 2000. You can follow 21^st century developments regarding the P-Tr extinction using the Palaeobiology index).

The most likely culprit was the Siberian Trap flood basalts effusion whose lavas emitted huge amounts of CO₂ and even more through underground burning of older coal deposits (see: Coal and the end-Permian mass extinction; March 2011) which triggered severe global warming. That, however, is a broad-brush approach to what was undoubtedly a very complex event. Of about 20 volcanism-driven global warming events during the Phanerozoic only a few coincide with mass extinctions. Of those none comes close the devastation of ‘The Great Dying’, which begs the question, ‘Were there other factors at play 252 Ma ago?’ That there must have been is highlighted by the terrestrial extinctions having begun significantly earlier than did those in marine ecosystems, and they preceded direct evidence for climatic warming. Also temperature records – obtained from shifts in oxygen isotopes held in fossils – for that episode are widely spaced in time and tell palaeoclimatologists next to nothing about the details of the variation of air- and sea-surface temperature (SST) variations.

Modelled sea-surface temperatures in the tropics in the early stages of Siberian Trap eruptions with atmospheric CO¬2 at 857 ppm – twice today’s level. (Credit: Sun et al., Fig. 1A)

Earth at the end of the Permian was very different from its current wide dispersal of continents and multiple oceans and seas. Then it was dominated by Pangaea, a single supercontinent that stretched almost from pole to pole, and a surrounding vast ocean known as Panthalassa. Geoscientists from China, Germany, Britain and Austria used this simple palaeogeography and the available Early Triassic greenhouse-gas and palaeo-temperature data as input to a climate prediction model (HadCM3BL) (Yadong Sun and 7 others 2024. Mega El Niño instigated the end-Permian mass extinction. Science 385, p. 1189–1195; DOI: 10.1126/science.ado2030 – contact yadong.sun@cug.edu.cn for PDF).. The computer model was developed by the Hadley Centre of the UK Met Office to assess possible global outcomes of modern anthropogenic global warming. It assesses heat transport by atmospheric flow and ocean currents and their interactions. The researchers ran it for various levels of atmospheric CO₂ concentrations over the estimate 100 ka duration of the P-Tr mass extinction.

The pole-to-pole continental configuration of Pangaea lends itself to equatorial El Niño and El Niña type climatic events that occur today along the Pacific coast of the Americas, known as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. In the first, warm surface water builds-up in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. It then then drifts westwards to allow cold surface water to flow northwards along the Pacific shore of South America to result in El Niña. Today, this climatic ‘teleconnection’ not only affects the Americas but also winds, temperature and precipitation across the whole planet. The simpler topography at the end of the Permian seems likely to have made such global cycles even more dominant.

Sun et al’s simulations used stepwise increases in the atmospheric concentration of CO₂ from an estimated 412 parts per million (ppm) before the eruption of the Siberian Traps (similar to those today) to a maximum of 4000 ppm during the late-stage magmatism that set buried coals ablaze. As levels reached 857 ppm SSTs peaked at 2 °C above the mean level during El Niño events and the cycles doubled in length. Further increase in emissions led to greater anomalies that lasted longer, rising to 4°C above the mean at 4000 ppm. The El Niña cooler parts of the cycle steadily became equally anomalous and long lasting. This amplification of the 252 Ma equivalent of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation would have added to the environmental stress of an ever increasing global mean surface temperature. The severity is clear from an animation of mean surface temperature change during a Triassic ENSO event.

Animation of monthly average surface temperatures across the Earth during an ENSO event at the height of the P-Tr mass extinction. (Credit: Alex Farnsworth, University of Bristol, UK)

The results from the modelling suggest increasing weather chaos across the Triassic Earth, with the interior of Pangaea locked in permanent drought. Its high latitude parts would undergo extreme heating and then cooling from 40°C to -40°C during the El Niño- El Niña cycles. The authors suggest that conditions on the continents became inimical for terrestrial life, which would be unable to survive even if they migrated long distances. That can explain why terrestrial extinctions at the P-Tr boundary preceded those in the global ocean. The marine biota probably succumbed to anoxia (See: Chemical conditions for the end-Permian mass extinction; November 2008)

There is a timely warning here. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation is becoming stronger, although each El Niño is a mere 2 years long at most, compared with up to 8 years at the height of the P-Tr extinction event. But it lay behind the record 2023-2024 summer temperatures in both northern and southern hemispheres, the North American heatwave of June 2024 being 15°C higher than normal. Many areas are now experiencing unprecedentedly severe annual wildfires. There also finds a parallel with conditions on the fringes of Early Triassic Pangaea. During the early part of the warming charcoal is common in the relics of the coastal swamps of tropical Pangaea, suggesting extensive and repeated wildfires. Then charcoal suddenly vanishes from the sedimentary record: all that could burn had burnt to leave the supercontinent deforested.

See also: Voosen, P. 2024. Strong El Niños primed Earth for mass extinction. Science 385, p. 1151; DOI: 10.1126/science.z04mx5b; Buehler, J. 2024. Mega El Niños kicked off the world’s worst mass extinction. ScienceNews, 12 September 2024.

A 9-day seismic reverberation set off by a giant tsunami in a Greenland fjord

Published on September 13, 2024 by zooks777Leave a comment

In September 2023 the global network of seismic recorders detected a sequence of low-strength earth movements. It resembled the reverberation of a church bell albeit one that lasted for 9 days. rising and falling in strength every 90 seconds. For months this strange event on seismograms baffled geophysicists. All they could tell was that the signals did not show signs of having been generated by earthquakes; they were too regular. It was, however, possible to triangulate the position of the source of each individual event. There turned out to be only a single location for the seismic ‘campanology’ – at about 73° N on the eastern coast of Greenland, in Dickson Fjord and isolated branch of the enormous Kong Oscar Fjord system. Greenland is not noted for volcanic activity, ruling out the rumblings of a magma chamber that sometimes presages major eruptions. Whatever the cause, there were no human witnesses at the time. The only real clue lay at the start of the signal: the very long-period (VLP) signal was preceded by a sharp, high energy signal that could be matched with some kind of landslide.

View of a side glacier on Dickson Fjord, East Greenland where the tsunami occurred. Left – August 2023; right – 19 September 2023. The rocky peak at top centre on the left fell onto the glacier below to generate a rock-ice slide into the fjord. (Credit: Søren Rysgaard/Danish Army)

On 16 September 2023 the military base for the famous Sirius Dog Sled Patrol on Ella Island was smashed by a tsunami – fortunately it had been closed for the coming winter. When the Danish Navy patrolled Dickson Fjord some days later they found clear signs that the shores opposite the site of a recent colossal rock and ice slide (see images) had been scoured to a height of 200 m. For 5 km either side shoreline scouring averaged 60 m. The initial tsunami was gigantic, yet the fjord was able to contain its worst effects because the outlet to the rest of the system was at right angles to its trend. Some energy obviously was released to reach Ella Island near the mouth of the system to destroy the Danish Army post. The bizarre seismic signal was probably a result of the displaced water sloshing around in the fjord to dissipate the enormous energy released by the collapse of a mountain peak and a substantial amount of a valley glacier. Such behaviour is known as a seiche. Topographic analysis of Dickson Fjord enabled the researchers to calculate its resonant frequency: at 11 millihertz it matched that of the fluctuating seismic signal. (Svennevig, K. and 67 others 2024. A rockslide-generated tsunami in a Greenland fjord rang Earth for 9 days. Science, v. 385, p. 1196-1205; DOI: 10.1126/science.adm9247).

Valley glaciers in Greenland bolster their rocky flanks against collapse. With climatic warming being much faster there than for the rest of the world, its almost innumerable valley glaciers are shrinking. Yet they have been eroding the crust for tens of thousand years. The fjords that they occupied at the height of the last glacial maximum have very steep sides. Likewise, the remaining glaciers have carved U-shaped valleys. So when the glaciers retreat their exposed flanks become gravitationally unstable. Despite the fact that much of Greenland is underpinned by very hard crystalline rocks, that presents a major hazard for water craft. East Greenland’s spectacular scenery draws many tourist cruisers and Innuit fishing boats each summer. Moreover, removal of the ice load allows elastic strain that had built up in the upper crust to be released along joint systems that further weaken resistance to collapse.

A great deal of publicity has been given to the rapid melting of the huge ice sheet that covers most of Greenland. That is currently the biggest contributor to sea-level rise: a few millimetres per year. The Dickson Fjord event highlights the potential deadly threat of deglaciation, although the extremely complex nature of most of its fjord systems may prevent regional tsunamis from escaping their damping effect. Bu there are increasing dangers from the largest, more open fjords, such as Scoresby Sund, which conceivably might blurt catastrophic tsunamis towards Iceland, Svalbard and the west coast of Norway. Even small ones could wreak havoc on wildlife, such as seal and walrus nurseries.

See also: Carrillo-Ponce, A. et al. 2024. The 16 September 2023 Greenland Megatsunami: Analysis and Modeling of the Source and a Week‐Long, Monochromatic Seismic Signal. The Seismic Record, v. 4, p. 172-183; DOI: 10.1785/0320240013; Le Page, M. 2024. Greenland landslide caused freak wave that shook Earth for nine days. New Scientist 12 September 2024

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this: