Tag: astronomy

A sign of life on another planet? Should we be excited?

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Judging by the coverage in the media, there is huge excitement about a possible sign of life on a very distant planet. It emerged from a Letter to The Astrophysical Journal posted by a British-US team of astronomers led by Nikku Madhusudhan that was publicised by the Cambridge University Press Office (Madhusudhan, N.et al. 2025. New Constraints on DMS and DMDS in the Atmosphere of K2-18 b from JWST MIRI. The Astrophysical Journal, v. 983, article adc1c8; DOI: 10.3847/2041-8213/adc1c8). K2-18 b is a planet a bit smaller than Neptune that orbits a red dwarf star (K2-18) about 124 light years away. The planet was discovered by NASA’s now-defunct Kepler space telescope tasked with the search for planets orbiting other stars. An infrared spectrometer on the Hubble Space Telescope revealed in 2019 that the atmosphere of K2-18 b contained water vapour, making the planet a target for further study as it may possess oceans. The more sophisticated James Webb Space Telescope IR spectrometer was trained on it a year later to reveal methane and CO2: yet more reason to investigate more deeply, for water and carbon compounds imply both habitability and the potential for life forms being there.

The latest results suggest that that the atmosphere of K2-18 b may contain simple carbon-sulfur gases: dimethyl sulfide ((CH3)2S) and dimethyl disulfide (CH3SSCH3). Bingo! for exobiologists, because on Earth both DMS and DMDS are only produced by algae and bacteria. Indeed they are responsible for the odour of the seaside. They became prominent in 1987 when biogeochemist James Lovelock fitted them into his Gaia Hypothesis. He recognised that they encourage cloud formation and thus increase Earth’s reflectivity (albedo) and also yield sulfuric acid aerosols in the stratosphere when they oxidise: that too increases albedo. DMS generates a cooling feedback loop to counter the warming feedback of greenhouse emissions. That is an idea of planetary self-regulation not much mentioned nowadays. Such gases were proposed by Carl Sagan as unique molecular indicators that could be used to search for extraterrestrial life.

The coma of Comet Churyumov-Gerasimenko yielded both dimethyl sulfide and amino acids to the mass spectrometer carried by ESA’s Rosetta. Credit: ESA.

The discovery of possible DMS and DMDS in K2-18 b’s atmosphere is, of course, currently under intense scientific scrutiny. For a start, the statistics inherent in Madhusudhan et al.’s methodology (3σ or 99.7% probability) fall short of the ‘gold standard’ for discoveries in physics (5σ or 99.99999% probability). Moreover, there’s also a chance that exotic, inorganic chemical processes could also create the gases, such as lightning in an atmosphere containing C, H and S. But this is not the first time that DMS has been discovered in an extraterrestrial body. Comets, having formed in the infancy of the Solar System much further from the Sun than any planets, are unlikely to be ‘teeming with life’. The European Space Agency’s Rosetta spacecraft chased comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko for 2 years, directly sampling dust and gas that it shed while moving closer to the Sun. A single day’s data from Rosetta’s mass spectrometer showed up DMS, and also amino acids. Both could have formed in comets or interstellar dust clouds by chemistry driven by radiation, possibly to contaminate planetary atmospheres. Almost certainly, further remote sensing of K2-18 b will end up with five-sigma precision and some will say, ‘Yes, there is life beyond Earth!’ and celebrate wildly. But that does not constitute proof, even by the ‘weight of evidence’ criterion of some judiciaries. To me such a conclusion would be unseemly romanticism. Yet such is the vastness of the material universe and the sheer abundance of the elements C H O N and P that make up most living matter that life elsewhere, indeed everywhere, (but not life as we know it) is a near certainty. The issue of intelligent lifeforms ‘out there’ is, however, somewhat less likely to be resolved . . .

An astronomical background to flood basalt events and mass extinctions?

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Michael Rampino and Ken Caldeira of New York University and the Carnegie Institute have for at least three decades been at the forefront of studies into mass extinctions and their possible causes, including flood-basalt volcanism, extraterrestrial impacts and climate change. As early as 1993 the duo reported an ubiquitous 26-million year cycle in plate tectonic and volcanic activity. In Rampino’s 2017 book Cataclysms: A New Geology for the Twenty-First Century the notion of a process similar to Milutin Milankovich’s prediction of Earth’s orbital characteristics underpinning climate cyclicity figured in his thinking (see Shock and Er … wait a minute, Earth-logs, October 2017). Rampino postulated then that this longer-term geological cyclicity could be linked to gravitational changes during the Solar System’s progress around the Milky Way galaxy. He was by no means the first to turn to galactic forces, Johann Steiner having made a similar suggestion in 1966. The notion stems from the Solar System’s wobbling path as it orbits the centre of the Milky Way galaxy about every 250 Ma, which may result in its passage through a vast layered variation in several physical properties aligned at right angles to galactic orbital motions. This grand astronomical theory is ‘a story that will run and run’; and it has. It is possible that the galaxy has corralled dark matter in a disc within the galactic plane, which Rampino and Caldeira latched onto that notion a year after it appeared in Physical Review Letters in 2014.

Map of the Milky Way galaxy as it would appear from a viewpoint above the galactic centre. The Solar System is located in the Orion Spur (green dot) (Credit: Wikipedia)

As I commented in my brief review of Rampino’s book: “As for Rampino’s galactic hypothesis, the statistics are decidedly dodgy, but chasing down more forensics is definitely on the cards.” Indeed they have been chased in a recent review by the pair and their colleague Sedelia Rodriguez (Rampino, M.R., Caldeira, K. & Rodriguez, S. 2023. Cycles of ∼32.5 My and ∼26.2 My in correlated episodes of continental flood basalts (CFBs), hyper-thermal climate pulses, anoxic oceans, and mass extinctions over the last 260 My: Connections between geological and astronomical cycles. Earth-Science Reviews, v. 246 ; DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2023.104548; reprint available on request from Rampino). They base their amplified case on much more than radiometric dates of continental flood basalt (CFB) events matched against the stratigraphic record of biotic diversity. Among the proxies are published measurements of mercury and osmium isotope anomalies in oceanic sediments that are best explained by sudden increases in basaltic magma eruption; signs of deep ocean anoxia; new dating of marine and non-marine extinctions in the fossil record, and episodes of sudden extreme climatic heating.

Statistical analysis of the ages of anoxic events and marine extinctions has yielded cycles of 32.5 and 26.2 Ma, those for CFBs having a 32.8 Ma periodicity. A note of caution, however: their data only cover the last 266 Ma – about one orbit of the solar system around the galactic centre. The authors attribute their interpretation of the cycles “to the Earth’s tectonic-volcanic rhythms, but the similarities with known Milankovitch Earth orbital periods and their amplitude modulations, and with known Galactic cycles, suggest that, contrary to conventional wisdom, the geological events and cycles may be paced by astronomical factors”.

Whether or not a detailed record of appropriate proxies can be extended back beyond the Late Permian, remains to be seen. The main fly-in-the-ointment is the tendency of CFB provinces to form high ground so that they are readily eroded away. Pre-Mesozoic signs of their former presence lie in basaltic dyke swarms that cut through older  crystalline continental crust. The marine sedimentary record is somewhat better preserved. A search for distinctive anomalies in osmium isotopes and mercury concentrations, which are useful proxies for global productivity of basaltic magmas, will be costly. Moreover, dating will depend to a large degree on the traditional palaeontology of strata, which in Palaeozoic rocks is more difficult to calibrate precisely by absolute radiometric dating.