Clouds and large earthquakes

The press announced in April that the USGS and other western US geoscience institutes had issues the first ever comprehensive earthquake forecast for California (see http://www.scec.org/ucerf/) , but it was cautiously phrased in terms of probabilities of destructive magnitudes (>6.7) over the next 30 years. That might be fine and dandy for administrators and civil engineers, but not so good for anyone who becomes a victim at the precise time this or that Californian fault ‘goes off’. People world-wide have rarely chosen where to live based on knowledge of geological risks; indeed most threatened communities have little choice, for many reasons. What would be useful is being warned that a devastating earthquake is definitely due where one lives, and it will happen sometime in the next few days or weeks. Even an hour’s warning will save many lives. But no geological survey will commit itself to that kind of pronouncement, except perhaps some of the many surveys in China. The fact that all kinds of phenomena, such as nervousness among animals, rising water levels in wells and so-on have been shown to occur shortly before many big earthquakes has prompted a kind of ‘barefoot’ monitoring that is officially co-ordinated in some parts of China. It is said that lives have been saved on a number or recent occasions.

It is easy for western scientists to make the analogy with homeopathy, and pooh-pooh such methodology. Also, there has been a succession of observations from space that could prove useful, such as ‘earth lights’ and magnetic-field fluctuations that accompany some seismic events (see Remote signs of earthquakes in EPN August 2003, Early warning of earthquakes in EPN December 2005). The latest odd, but conceivably useful connection is an association of unusual cloud formations with earthquakes in Iran (Guo, G. & Wang, B. 2008. Cloud anomaly before Iran earthquake. International Journal of Remote Sensing, v. 29, p. 1921-1928). The authors, from Nanyang Normal University in China, scrutinised free, hourly images from the geostationary Meteosat-5 satellite covering the whole of Iran, where seismicity is concentrated on a single large zone of deformation that trends NW-SE through the Zagros mountains. On several dates they found cloud formations parallel to the fault zone. Between 60 to 70 days later large eathquakes took place along the fault, including the highly destructive Bam earthquake of 26 December 2003. Indeed, a noticeable thermal anomaly in clouds directly above Bam occurred 5 days before the disaster.

How often do tsunamis occur?

Fortunately, truly destructive tsunamis on the scale of that of 26 December 2004 are rare events. So much so that nobody has a clear idea of their average frequency at different exposed shorelines; a vital statistic for risk analysis. Tsunamis produce high energy marine deposits, but unless they are preserved in accessible locations their incidence would be difficult to estimate, and they may be confused with tempestites generated by hurricanes. One characteristic of tsunamis is that they are waves that affect the entire ocean volume, unlike wind waves whose effects are restricted to a few tens to hundred of metres, which can create unique features. Canadian, US and Omani sedimentologists have examined a sediment deposited in Oman by a recorded tsunami generated by a large earthquake off Pakistan in 1945 and have discovered one such signature (Donato, S.V et al 2008. Identifying tsunami .deposits using bivalve shell taphonomy.  Geology, v. 36, p. 199-202). The deposit, a coquina rich in bivalve shells, contains an unusually high proportion of still-articulated shells, suggesting that living animals were ripped from the seabed and then flung into a lagoon. Along with oddities in fragmentation of other shells and the sheer size and extent of the coquina, this feature seems to be characteristic of tsunamites. Features in the Oman example closely match those in another on the eastern shore of the Mediterranean Sea in Israel.

New Journal

The New Year saw the launch of a new Earth science journal: Nature Geoscience, part of the growing ‘family’ of specialist twiglets from the main trunk of their parent. Whether publishing in it will match the kudos of having a Letter in Nature itself remains to be seen. A monthly rather than a weekly format will keep an issue on the shelf for browsers, but will they rush to thumb through it in paper or on-line? Should Nature Geoscience take off and attract all the geoscience that was once in Nature, then Earth scientists may stop checking through each issue of that august journal, which would be a shame when our discipline is looking for an upsurge in cross-pollination with others. Whatever, the first issue had enough to interest me – three noteworthy Letters – but I can’t say the same for the second.

Epoch, Age, Zone or Nonsense

The International Commission on Stratigraphy lists 37 Series/Epochs and 85 Stages/Ages in the latest version of the International Stratigraphic Chart for the 11 Systems/Periods of the Phanerozoic. A great battle against ICS’s attempt to extinguish the Quaternary, the only enduring Era originated by Giovanni Arduino (1714-1795) and Johann Gotlob Lehmann (1719-1767), now seems to have ended in a compromise (Kerr, R.A. 2008. A time war over the period we live in. Science, v. 319, p. 402-403). While that vigorous struggle has apparently petered out, the Stratigraphic Commission of the Geological Society of London has launched another by proposing a new Epoch – the Anthropocene. This follow a suggestion by Nobel laureate and chemist Paul Crutzen that the Holocene Epoch ended once humanity made a significant impact on the Earth system (Zalasiewicz, J. and 20 others 2008. Are we now living in the Anthropocene? GSA Today, v.18(ii), p. 4-8).

The device intended by the ICS to mark boundaries between Periods, Epochs and Ages in the Phanerozoic is a symbolic Global Standard Section and Point (GSSP), combining an absolute age definition and a type section. A growing number of boundaries are marked by a physical ‘golden’ spike (not necessarily made of gold) including a plaque engraved with the Period or Age names, welded into the agreed boundary itself. There is good reason for this seemingly odd behaviour; geologists need to have agreed nomenclature and locations so that their discourse can be internationally sensible. It is also a deeply exciting, even exalting moment when any geologist puts her/his finger on a boundary of global significance: and how supremely triumphant actually to wield the hammer that drives the spike home. So much so, that there have been monumental squabbles, some not far short of diplomatic ‘incidents’, about exactly where GSSPs should be placed.

But the whole bureaucratic process has its awkwardly humorous side. There is a proposal that the GSSP for the Pleistocene/Holocene boundary be located in a Greenland ice core. Is that to be in the hole left by the NGRIP core drill at the centre of Greenland, at the depth at which evidence for the warming at the end of the Younger Dryas (11.5 ka) occurs? Or should it be in the core itself – a GSSP in a fridge? Either way, it is going to be difficult to put a finger on that particular boundary Moreover, global warming and the attendant social disruption might remove both. The proposed Anthropocene might have an even stranger GSSP. For a start, when did it begin? An anthropogenic human signature appears clearly in the NGRIP core around 8 ka bp, and at a variety of levels in pollen records, but the GSL’s Stratigraphic Commission wants it to start at the beginning of the Industrial Revolution. Sadly, that is a profoundly diachronous, economic boundary. To make it Eurocentric, as Crutzen suggested, would be a bit non-PC.

Let’s face it, the Holocene is just an interglacial, similar to a great many since 2.4 Ma ago. It is noted only for the brief period in which humanity became separated into two groups: a very small one owning the means of production; the other, initially diverse, being forced to work for the first in order to survive. The Industrial Revolution marked a social simplification into two opposed classes, as clearly defined by Marx, and the increased dominance of human affairs by an inhuman entity called capital. The working through of the contradictions bound up in class society and in capital itself has been largely responsible for the huge environmental changes drawn on by Zalasiewicz et al. It seems our somewhat po-faced authors forget the great many more scholars of human affairs than there are geologists: historians and political economists. Already there are plenty of anthropocentric equivalents of GSSPs in London itself, in the form of its celebrated blue plaques. Historians and political economists might well agree that the rise to dominance of capital – and hence the emergence of rapid environmental change during the uniquely short-lived Anthropocene – began outside the Banqueting Hall on Whitehall at 2.04 pm on Tuesday 30 January 1649 with the separation of the head of the divinely righteous monarch, Charles I, from his body. Ladies and Gentlemen of the SC of the GSL, that is where you place your ‘golden’ spike. However, geology might yet have its say, any time now (and geologists cannot really foretell): a super-volcanic eruption; a comet strike or a cosmic gamma-ray burst. So you had better be quick, if your aim is posterity.

Watermills and meanders

The classic notion of a floodplain is that the streams responsible for it meander to create point bars, overbank muds and all the other paraphernalia of the fluvial sedimentologist. River authorities seeking to restore floodplains see the meandering stream as the ideal to aim for, and increasingly as a means of natural flood amelioration. All this may turn out to be illusory following publication of a study on long-vanished human activities (Walter, R.C. & Merritts, D.J. 2008. Natural streams and the legacy of water-powered mills. Science, v. 319, p. 299-304). By mapping and dating alluvial deposits along 1st to 3rd order streams in the north-eastern USA, in relation to milldams recorded on 19th century maps, Walter and Merritts of Franklin and Marshall College, Pennsylvania found that up to 5 metres of sediment had accumulated behind the dams since the 17th century up to the abandonment of watermills.

The conclusion is that mill dams together with increased sediment load following deforestation for agriculture created valley flats on a vast scale – three counties in Pennsylvania had over a thousand mill dams. In places along the north-eastern Piedmont the density of water mills reaches as many as one per square kilometre, and the median density of around 1 per 10 km2 involved more than 22 000 mills out of a total in 1840 of >65 000. Once the mills were abandoned, either because their dams had silted up or milling turned to larger facilities powered other energy sources, streams developed meanders that gradually incised the artificial flood plains. The situation now is that the small floodplains rarely flood, spates being unable to spill over the current bank height. Consequently, many of the low-order streams in major river catchments discharge floods quickly to the larger streams and rivers, which themselves burst their banks to cause floods with major social and economic consequences.

Walter and Merritts’ findings are also based on their analysis of the kinds of sediment that accumulated before European colonisation. In most small valleys these indicate extensive forested wetlands with multiple small channels and drier islands. A major influence over this earlier state was the formation of logjams, and perhaps beaver lodges, that spread normal and spate flows. Slow steam flow carried less sediment than nowadays, and the older Holocene alluvial deposits are organic rich. In addition, stream flow, once directly connected to groundwater, has become disconnected thereby reducing both recharge and the flood balancing achieved by truly natural streams.

The whole of Europe had a history of milling around five times as long as that in the eastern USA, as well as higher population densities. In addition, urban mill dams for metal forging and textile manufacture were on a larger scale. The UK’s National River Authority, Environment Agency and Phil Woolas, the Minister of State (Environment) need to read this study with care, as another flood season is almost certain in the summer of 2008 or the winter of 2008-9. As far as I can judge, it demands a reassessment of flood prevention ‘best practice’ in any populated humid-temperate landscape. Whatever, Walter and Merritts’ study forces a new look at the European lowland and upland geomorphology used for teaching at all levels.

An old bat from Wyoming

The Lower Eocene Green River Formation of Wyoming is dominated by fine-grained lake sediments, mainly made of laminated limy mudstones. Many layers constitute superb lagerstätten teeming with remains of delicate organisms. As well as much else, The Green River Formation is noted for its early bats, which suddenly appear in the fossil record with all the prerequisites for flight. The cover of the 14 February 2008 issue of Nature depicts a perfect specimen showing the four elongated ‘fingers’ that supported its wing membrane, and a long tail, which few modern bats have, except in atrophied form to support the rear part of the wing. In many respects it has a transitional structure between non-flying mammals and later bats, but would definitely have been a good flyer or rather flutterer-glider.

Not only is the fossil spectacularly well-preserved, detail of its head morphology helps resolve the issue of whether echolocation preceded flight (Simmons, .B. et al. 2008. Primitive Early Eocene at from Wyoming and the evolution of flight and echolocation. Nature, v. 451, p. 818-821). Other, slightly later fossil bats from the Green River Formation probably did echolocate, as evidenced by their stomach contents, and enlarged larynx and cochlea for transmitting and receiving the now typical high pitched squeaks of many bats. Onychonychteris doesn’t have such characteristics, so it seems as if echolocation did not evolve before flight, thereby resolving one of Darwin’s vexations about the universality of natural selection. Prior to the discovery by Simmons et al. many bat-oriented evolutionists speculated that echolocation evolved among small arboreal mammals so that they could detect passing insects. A habit of leaping to grab the prey in turn selected for an ability to glide from a strategic perch, for quite obvious reasons. Success further encouraged the evolution of powered flight. Yet no other living mammals have echolocation, probably because it is a highly energy-intensive habit. However, the muscles used by a flying mammal serve also to make squeaking a ‘cost-free’ bonus. So, the findings in Onychonychteris seem to resolve the matter nicely.

See also: Speakman, J. 2008. A first for bats. Nature, v. 451, p. 774-775.

Life perked up by repeated impacts

Following the blazes of publicity since the early 1980s about the demise of the dinosaurs at the K/T boundary it is easy to regard objects the size of mountains that fall out of the sky as bad news for life. That is despite the fact that, bar the Chicxulub impact structure that exactly matches the timing of the end-Cretaceous mass extinction, no other significant and rapid drop in the diversity of life has been found to be associated with an extraterrestrial impact. Whatever their cause, mass extinction events sometimes seem to be followed by bursts in biodiversity, presumably as the survivors eventually find lots of new opportunities and diversity to occupy them. One exception is the end-Ordovician mass extinction that was also preceded by a tripling in the number of families, which the extinction rudely interrupted. This has often been seen as a somewhat delayed exploitation of all the advantages and competitive opportunities conferred by the appearance of hard parts at the start of the Cambrian. But remarkable finds in the limestone-rich Ordovician of Scandinavia suggest an unexpected connection with meteorite bombardment (Schmitz, B. and 8 others 2008. Asteroid breakup linked to the Great Ordovician Biodiversification Event. Nature Geoscience, v. 1, p. 49-53).

The most usual measure of diversity used by stratigraphic palaeontologists is the number of families at a particular time, and the overall tripling in the Middle to Upper Ordovician is notable. However, if specimens of individual groups, such as brachiopods, are collected from the Scandinavian limestones on a bed by bed basis, increased diversity at the species level is even more dramatic. There are sudden doublings or triplings over periods of what can be no more than a few hundreds of ka, especially around 470 Ma ago. In the 1960s potassium-argon dating of chondritic meteorite collections revealed a cluster of reheating ages between 500 and 450 Ma (Upper Cambrian to Upper Ordovician); about 20% of all meteorites fall into this age-cluster, and most show evidence of having been shocked as well as heated up. This seems to signify a major collision or series of collisions in the Asteroid Belt around the early Palaeozoic. More reliable and precise 40Ar-39Ar dating narrows this event to a period between 463 and 477 Ma in the Middle Ordovician. In 2001, Birger Schmitz of the University of Lund reported, with others, more than 50 sizeable chondritic meteorites in the Middle Ordovician limestones of Sweden. Schmitz and his Damnish, US and Chinese colleagues in the new paper give plots of brachiopod species and also the abundance of chromite grains of meteoritic origin in Middle Ordovician limestones from Sweden and China. Two sharp jumps in brachiopod species numbers are  preceded and accompanied by ‘spikes’ in the number of extraterrestrial chromite grains, so the link seems to be real. Yet what can have produced such a counter-intuitive result? One possibility is that the undoubted disturbance may have killed off species of one group, maybe trilobites, so that the resources used by them became available to more sturdy groups, whose speciation filled the newly available niches. Such a scenario would make sense, as mobile predators/scavengers (e.g. trilobites) may have been less able to survive disruption, thereby favouring the rise of less metabolically energetic filter feeders (e.g. brachiopods).

A Cretaceous Ice Age?

Accepted geoscientific ‘wisdom’ is that the Cretaceous Period was so warm that forests reached polar latitudes and so too did cold-blooded reptiles. Planktonic foram oxygen isotopes indicate that the Cretaceous ‘hothouse’ in the Turonian (93.5-89.3 Ma) produced tropical sea-surface temperatures up to 37°C; warmer than human blood temperature. It also saw sea level reach an all time high. Both features have been attributed to the rate of ocean-floor volcanism being at its highest. It has, however, been difficult to model the warmth at high latitudes without fudging the input to general circulation models.

Measuring d18O in both planktonic and benthonic (ocean-floor) forams at centimetre spacings in Turonian ocean-floor sediments seems to have truly bamboozled specialists in the Cretaceous. They reveal a period of ~200 ka  at around 91.2 Ma where both show a sharp increase (Bornemann, A. and 8 others 2008. Isotopic evidence for glaciation during the Cretaceous supergreenhouse. Science, v. 319, p. 189-192). Respectively, the peaks reflect decreased sea-surface temperature (but only down to 32°C in the tropics) and an increase in the extraction of light 16O from the oceans; only likely when ice caps build up on land. The size of the benthonic d18O increase suggests ice caps about half the size of that now blanketing Antarctica. Other evidence includes rapid decreases in Turonian sea level in Europe, North America and Russia; only likely on such a scale as a result of glacio-eustasy. However, direct evidence in the form of tillites, striated pavements and glacio-marine sediments has yet to turn up

Until these convincing data emerged, it seemed that sufficient post-Permian frigidity for large-scale glaciation had not developed until Oligocene times. However, the paradox of high-latitude ice caps and low-latitude balmy seas is resolvable. Evaporation from the tropical sea surface would have been much greater than nowadays. Transport of moisture to cooler areas may have resulted in such immense winter snowfall at high latitudes that sufficient remained unmelted after winter darkness for its albedo to further cool the polar region. Almost certainly the site for the ice cap would have been Antarctica, which in the Cretaceous, as now, sat over the South Pole. Remove the present ice, and that continent would have had an average surface height of between 1 and 2 km that would have encouraged snow build up were sufficient to have fallen during the Turonian. Yet without the direct evidence for glaciation in sediments – much would be buried by the present Antarctic ice cap, if not eroded away – the scenario is difficult for some to believe.

Holocene cold spell and glacial lake burst

The most startling event during the gradual warming after the last glacial maximum was the millennium of icy conditions between 12.5 and 11.5 ka; the Younger Dryas. Long after Holocene warmth seemed well established and agriculture had been underway for two millennia, with perhaps increased human population, a smaller cold ‘snap’ took place, between 8.21 and 8.17 ka; i.e. for about 70 years. Its main effect was around the North Atlantic, but it was felt over the whole hemisphere. It must have been devastating for early farmers and new migrants into higher latitude lands. High-resolution records of many kinds are possible for such a young event, from both ice and marine cores, and also terrestrial pollen records. Norwegian, French and Dutch climate researchers have gleaned a great deal from a sea-floor core from between southern Greenland and Labrador (Kleiven, H.F. et al. 2008. Reduced North Atlantic deep water and the glacial Lake Agassiz outburst. Science, v. 319, p. 60-64). Their combined fossil, oxygen-isotope and mineralogical study shows anomalies from about 170 years before to 100 years after the drop in regional temperatures.  These include signs of decreased saltiness of the water in the Labrador Basin and a reduction in production of deep water in the North Atlantic. This is exactly the predicted signature for a shut-down of the Gulf Stream, similar to those implicated in Dansgaard-Oeschger events through the last Ice Age and the Younger Dryas itself.

The Younger Dryas has been linked to sudden drainage of huge glacially dammed lakes that once surrounded the ice cap of the Canadian Shield.  One scenario for that is a huge, protracted flood down the St Lawrence River into the North Atlantic, another being one down the MacKenzie River into the Arctic Ocean. Freshening of surface waters by such means would have reduced the formation of the dense cold brines that sink to form North Atlantic Deep Water today. In so doing these down-wellings drag surface waters northwards from low latitudes to form the Gulf Stream that makes the western side of the North Atlantic unusually warm. If they stop or slow significantly regional air temperatures fall, as they did again around 8.2 ka. In this case the likely cause was escape of water melted from the last dregs of the North American ice sheet that had been held in a glacial lake south of Hudson Bay: Lake Agassiz.

Pacific plate about to split?

The world’s largest lithospheric plate lies to the west of the East Pacific Rise spreading axis, and extends from 60˚N to 60˚S. A string of volcanic islands connects Easter Island close to the East Pacific Rise to Samoa on the northern end of the Tonga Trench. Each lies above a small hot spot, which collectively define the most densely packed area of active within-plate volcanism on the Pacific Plate. Associated with it is an area of anomalously shallow ocean floor: the South Pacific Superswell. North of this zone the plate velocity has been faster than that of the southern part of the Plate for the last 7 Ma. One explanation for the hot-spot cluster is that it lies above a ‘tear’ that is starting to develop in the Pacific lithosphere (Clouard, V. & Gerbault, M. 2008. Break-up spots: Could the Pacific open as a consequence of plate kinematics? Earth and Planetary Science Letters, v. 265, p. 195-208). Others dispute this conjecture, but Clouard and Gerbault have modelled strain patterns across the Plate, using plate speeds derived from magnetic stripes and GPS measurements, to predict where volcanism might arise in relation to a focussed shear zone in the lithosphere. The model points directly at the linear cluster of hot spots. Maybe this is the site of a future division of the Pacific Plate into two, the current magmatism perhaps to generate a new, E-W spreading axis. That would be 5 to 20 Ma off, so there is plenty of time to discuss the processes going on.

See also: Reilly, M. 2008. I the Pacific splitting in two. New Scientist, v. 197 (26 January 2008 issue), p. 10.

Is plate tectonics a turn-on or a turn-off?

The dominant force that helps to drive plate motions is the pull exerted by dense cold lithosphere descending subduction zones. If the total length of subduction zones were to increase or decrease, or some other factor affecting the global rate of subduction changed then plate movements overall would be affected. Yet it is plate tectonics that actually removes the bulk of heat continuously generated in the deep Earth by radioactive decay, the amount of which changes very slowly over periods of tens to hundreds of million years. Should plate movements slow or stop that heat would either build up at depth or would emerge in a way unrelated to the motion of plates, perhaps as within-plate magmatism.

Should the Pacific Ocean close, then a large proportion of modern subduction would stop, and some kind of thermal and mechanical compensation would cut-in. There were times in the past when vast oceans did close as supercontinents formed: the formation of Rodinia in the late Mesoproterozoic; the Pan African orogeny of the late Neoproterozoic; the mid-Phanerozoic assembly of Pangaea. Each would have resulted in an order-of-magnitude fall in the rate of subduction. Paul Silver and Mark Behn of the Carnegie Institution of Washington and Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution have attempted to judge what kind of thermal and mechanical compensation may have taken place (Silver, P.G & Behn. M.D. 2008. Intermittent plate tectonics. Science, v. 319, p. 85-88). They look at geochemical parameters that ought to act as proxies for subduction processes – the way certain element and isotope proportions in the mantle (Nb/Th and 4He/3He) are affected by the productivity of arc magmatism. Another proxy for subduction intensity is the rate of production of continental crust, assuming reasonably that most is produced from magmas generated at volcanic arcs.

It has become increasingly clear, as the number of absolute ages from the crust has steadily increased, that the continents have formed in a stop-start fashion. Convincingly, Silver and Behn’s synthesis of Nb/Th and 4He/3He ratios in basalts also shows a marked fluctuation in the rate of the mantle’s chemical depletion. It peaked at the end of the Archaean, declined to a minimum around 1 Ga and rose again with the formation of Pangaea at about 300 Ma. The link with supercontinent formation is not simple, although a pattern emerges. Pangaea and the suspected Nuna supercontinent of the Palaeoproterozoic link to peaks in mantle depletion rate, whereas the supercontinents Rodinia and Pannotia (arising from the Pan African) formed while depletion rates were low. Silver and Behn ascribe the differences to two kinds of closure of Pacific-sized oceans following their origination by rifting and drifting of supercontinents. One scenario involves closure of the ocean that once surrounded the supercontinent, as seems to be on the cards for the modern Pacific; P-type closure. The other when the ocean formed passively by break-up is ‘outgunned’ by sea-floor spreading in the once surrounding ocean. That would be the case had the spreading on the East Pacific Rise not involved double subduction around the Pacific margins – the Atlantic would have opened only for both its margins to become subduction zones; A-type closure. Pangaea and possibly Nuna resulted from A-type closure. On the other hand Rodinia and Pannotia seem to have involved circumnavigation of drifting continents to collide at roughly the antipode of the split in a preceding supercontinent by P-type closure.

The conclusion is that plate tectonics was active in the early Earth, becoming intermittent in its middle life and resurrected since a billion years ago. From an examination of the deep thermal consequences of changes in plate motions in the outer Earth, it appears that mantle temperature has fluctuated markedly through time, albeit with a net decrease due to decayed radioactivity. This may have partially ‘switched off’ the conditions for mantle convection that favours plate formation and motion to a more sluggish form. By way of confirmation of their theoretical work, Silver and Behn point to the vast emplacement on most modern continents of granitic and anorthositic plutons under tectonically quiescent conditions that characterised the Grenvillian events preceding the formation of Rodinia between 1.6 to 1.3 Ga.

Deep geothermal processes

Advances in seismic tomography of the mantle, greater knowledge of mineralogical phase changes right down to its base and modelling of processes within the core have revolutionised ideas on the physical aspects of deep mantle processes that contribute to convection and magmatism. The thermal features of the deep Earth are of crucial importance, so it is excellent to see a timely review of how heat moves at and around the core-mantle boundary (CMB) (Lay, T. et al. 2008. Core-mantle boundary heat flow. Nature Geoscience, v. 1, p. 25-32). The review gives a readable means of catching up with developments, using simple and not too speculative diagrams. You can find plenty about temperatures and physical properties at the CMB, the various contributions to heat flow and their magnitudes, and the significance of the newly discovered transformation of the deep mantle ‘catch-all’ mineral perovskite to another phase, post-perovskite. Heat that flows from the core into the lower mantle, as much as a third of the total current surface flux of about 45 terawatts, must make a profound contribution to convection in the core and thus to the geomagnetic dynamo. But there is a temperature contrast at the CMB of 500 to 1800 degrees that surely must affect physical processes in the deepest mantle, such as the initiation of mantle plumes. A puzzling new discovery is of ultra-low seismic velocities in the bottom few tens of kilometres of mantle, which  Thorne Lay, John Herlund and Bruce Buffett discuss. Finally, the whole of Earth history encapsulates the evolution of heat flow, which underpins the dynamics of our planet. The historically complex interplay between evolving sources of heat – inherited from Earth accretion and Moon formation; radiogenic sources, and physical and chemical phenomena that are played out as the core evolves – should be curricular issues for all Earth scientists.

What becomes of all the sediments?

It used to be widely thought that sediment of the ocean floor and that at active continental margins or ahead of volcanic arcs were scraped off subducting lithosphere and simply added to continental growth. If that didn’t happen, then perhaps continents could be recycled by a combination of erosion and tectonics? Geochemists know better now, for a variety of compositional anomalies in volcanic rocks do suggest a measure of recycling of subducted lithosphere, and it is becoming clear that part of the oddity has a sedimentary source. “Which one?” is the question.

Hafnium and neodymium isotopes have become choice tracers of whether basaltic magmas formed from pristine mantle, that depleted by previously sourcing magma or some kind of mixture with recycled materials. . Catherine Chauvel and colleagues from the University of Grenoble have pondered on the sizeable amount of Hf and Nd isotopic data that has emerged from a couple of decades of fancy mass spectrometry of ocean-island and mid-ocean-ridge basalts, and a variety of sediments (Chauvel, C. et al. 2008. Role of recycled oceanic basalt and sediment in generating the Hf-Nd mantle array. Nature Geoscience, v. 1, p. 64-67). By modelling how various reasonable mixtures of isotopes of the two elements might fit the simple Hf-Nd relationship for the source mantle of all oceanic basalts they discovered that it couldn’t be derived from just the crystalline oceanic lithosphere, but must involve a substantial contribution from subducted sediments. Moreover, they seem to have demonstrated that much of the mantle involved in producing ocean-island, hot-spot basalts is a product of this recycling – both oceanic crust and its sedimentary cover get down to the levels where the mantle involved in hot-spot melting originates. Although there is a good probability of separation of sediment and crystalline components of subducted slabs according to density, it seems from the modelling that some sediment does get down to profound levels.

See also: Plank, T. & van Keken, P.E. 2008. The ups and downs of sediment. Nature Geoscience, v. 1, p. 17-18, especially their astonishing figure giving a graphic notion of the forms mantle convection might take (see Deep geothermal processes).

Hydrocarbons from the mantle: was Gold right?

In 1999 the late Thomas Gold, cosmologist and quite a lot more, annoyed the geoscience community with publication of his book The Deep Hot Biosphere: The Myth of Fossil Fuels (Springer-Verlag: New York). In that book Gold reached the acme of his lone campaign for recognition that oil, gas and even coal formed from carbon and hydrogen feedstock that had been residing in the mantle since the Earth’s accretion. He suggested that it was mediated by a hidden yet teeming biosphere at much deeper levels than suspected at the time. I did my share of carpet gnawing, but was sorry to learn of the death in 2004 of such a supreme scientific provocateur. Although without mentioning Gold, a recent paper hints at a possibility that he may have been on to something (Proskurowski, G. et al. 2008. Abiogenic hydrocarbon production at Lost City hydrothermal field. Science, v. 319, p. 604-607).

Hydrocarbons are often found as blobs in fluid inclusions within gangue minerals of a variety of ore bodies. The US-Swiss research team examined hydrocarbons within the fluids that gush from a hydrothermal vent at 30˚N on the Mid-Atlantic Ridge; i.e. where there is no older sediment that might host biologically generated hydrocarbons, but where heat-loving microbial life could play a role. Molecular structure and carbon-isotope composition of the hydrocarbons point strongly to their formation by reduction of CO2 to methane and low molecular weight hydrocarbons by the catalytic action of mineral surfaces in the presence of a great deal of hydrogen. This is known as a Fischer-Tropsch reaction, the basis for making oil from coal, as in Nazi Germany and South Africa when under economic blockade.

The CO2 could have come from two possible sources: seawater or the mantle beneath the Lost City vents. Hydrogen can form abundantly when the olivine in peridotite beaks down to serpentinite as seawater is convected through the oceanic mantle. The vents have created towers made partly of carbonates, in whose pores there are microbes whose metabolism is based on use of hydrogen. However, the key finding is that the hydrocarbons contain no radioactive 14C, which forms by cosmic-ray interaction with nitrogen atoms in the atmosphere and is easily detectable in seawater. This rules out a seawater source for the CO2, but supports a mantle origin.