A sign of life on another planet? Should we be excited?

Judging by the coverage in the media, there is huge excitement about a possible sign of life on a very distant planet. It emerged from a Letter to The Astrophysical Journal posted by a British-US team of astronomers led by Nikku Madhusudhan that was publicised by the Cambridge University Press Office (Madhusudhan, N.et al. 2025. New Constraints on DMS and DMDS in the Atmosphere of K2-18 b from JWST MIRI. The Astrophysical Journal, v. 983, article adc1c8; DOI: 10.3847/2041-8213/adc1c8). K2-18 b is a planet a bit smaller than Neptune that orbits a red dwarf star (K2-18) about 124 light years away. The planet was discovered by NASA’s now-defunct Kepler space telescope tasked with the search for planets orbiting other stars. An infrared spectrometer on the Hubble Space Telescope revealed in 2019 that the atmosphere of K2-18 b contained water vapour, making the planet a target for further study as it may possess oceans. The more sophisticated James Webb Space Telescope IR spectrometer was trained on it a year later to reveal methane and CO2: yet more reason to investigate more deeply, for water and carbon compounds imply both habitability and the potential for life forms being there.

The latest results suggest that that the atmosphere of K2-18 b may contain simple carbon-sulfur gases: dimethyl sulfide ((CH3)2S) and dimethyl disulfide (CH3SSCH3). Bingo! for exobiologists, because on Earth both DMS and DMDS are only produced by algae and bacteria. Indeed they are responsible for the odour of the seaside. They became prominent in 1987 when biogeochemist James Lovelock fitted them into his Gaia Hypothesis. He recognised that they encourage cloud formation and thus increase Earth’s reflectivity (albedo) and also yield sulfuric acid aerosols in the stratosphere when they oxidise: that too increases albedo. DMS generates a cooling feedback loop to counter the warming feedback of greenhouse emissions. That is an idea of planetary self-regulation not much mentioned nowadays. Such gases were proposed by Carl Sagan as unique molecular indicators that could be used to search for extraterrestrial life.

The coma of Comet Churyumov-Gerasimenko yielded both dimethyl sulfide and amino acids to the mass spectrometer carried by ESA’s Rosetta. Credit: ESA.

The discovery of possible DMS and DMDS in K2-18 b’s atmosphere is, of course, currently under intense scientific scrutiny. For a start, the statistics inherent in Madhusudhan et al.’s methodology (3σ or 99.7% probability) fall short of the ‘gold standard’ for discoveries in physics (5σ or 99.99999% probability). Moreover, there’s also a chance that exotic, inorganic chemical processes could also create the gases, such as lightning in an atmosphere containing C, H and S. But this is not the first time that DMS has been discovered in an extraterrestrial body. Comets, having formed in the infancy of the Solar System much further from the Sun than any planets, are unlikely to be ‘teeming with life’. The European Space Agency’s Rosetta spacecraft chased comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko for 2 years, directly sampling dust and gas that it shed while moving closer to the Sun. A single day’s data from Rosetta’s mass spectrometer showed up DMS, and also amino acids. Both could have formed in comets or interstellar dust clouds by chemistry driven by radiation, possibly to contaminate planetary atmospheres. Almost certainly, further remote sensing of K2-18 b will end up with five-sigma precision and some will say, ‘Yes, there is life beyond Earth!’ and celebrate wildly. But that does not constitute proof, even by the ‘weight of evidence’ criterion of some judiciaries. To me such a conclusion would be unseemly romanticism. Yet such is the vastness of the material universe and the sheer abundance of the elements C H O N and P that make up most living matter that life elsewhere, indeed everywhere, (but not life as we know it) is a near certainty. The issue of intelligent lifeforms ‘out there’ is, however, somewhat less likely to be resolved . . .

The nearest Earth-like planet

What could be more exciting for exobiologists and planetary scientists than to discover that a nearby star is orbited by a planet approximately the same mass as the Earth that may support liquid water: a world in the ‘Goldilocks zone’? It seems that Proxima Centauri, the Sun’s closest companion star (4.2 light years distant), might have such a planet (Anglada-Escudé, G. And 30 others 2016. A terrestrial planet candidate in a temperate orbit around Proxima Centauri. Nature, v. 536, p. 437-440).  It is one of 34 candidates found to date with various levels of likelihood for having the potential to produce life and support it. To fit the bill a planet first has to orbit a star at a distance where the stellar energy output is unlikely to vapourise any surface water yet is sufficient to keep it at a temperature above freezing point, i.e. the ‘Goldilocks’ or circumstellar habitable zone is closer to a cool star than to a hot one. Note that the liquid-water criterion requires that the planet also has an atmosphere with sufficient pressure to maintain liquid water. It also needs to have a mass close to that of the Earth (between 0.1 to 5 Earth masses) and a similar density, i.e. a candidate needs to be dominated by silicates so that it has a solid surface rather than being made mainly of gases and liquids.

The location of Alpha Centauri A and B, Proxim...
The location of Alpha Centauri A and B, Proxima Centauri and the Sun in the Hertzsprung-Russell (HR) diagram. (credit: Wikipedia)

Proxima Centauri b, as the planet is called, was not discovered by the Kepler space telescope using the transit method (drops in a star’s brightness as a planet transits across its disk) but by terrestrial telescopes that measure the Doppler shifts in starlight as it wobbles because of the gravitational affect of an orbiting planet. As well as being close, Proxima Centauri is much smaller than the Sun so such effects are more pronounced, especially by planets orbiting close to it. The planet that has excited great interest has an orbital period of only 11.2 Earth days so is much closer to its star and may have a surface temperature (without any greenhouse effect) of 234 K (21 degrees less than that of Earth). The wobble suggests a mass and radius are likely to be 1.3  and between 0.8 to 1.4 times those of Earth, respectively. So Proxima Centauri b is probably a silicate-rich world. But, of course, such limited information gives no guarantee whatever of the presence of liquid water and an atmosphere that can support it. Neither is it possible to suggest a day length. In fact, such a close orbit may have resulted in the planet tidally locked in synchrony with its orbit, in the manner of the Moon showing only one face to the Earth. Moreover, its star is a red dwarf and is known to produce a prodigious X-ray flux, frequent flares and probably a stream of energetic particles, from which only a planet with a magnetic field is shielded. All red dwarfs seem to have such characteristics, and the list of possible Earth-like planets show them to be the most common hosts.

It is too early to get overexcited as technologies for astronomical detection of atmospheres and surface composition are about a decade off at the earliest. Being so close makes it tempting for some space agency to plan sending tiny probes (around 1 gram) using a laser propulsion system that is under development. Anything as substantial as existing planetary probes and certainly a crewed mission is unthinkable with current propulsion systems – a one-way trip of 80 thousand years and stupendous amounts of fuel.